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Bitcoin’s price movements below key levels have triggered heightened liquidation risks across major centralized exchanges (CEXs), according to recent data from Coinglass. Specifically, if
drops below $110,000, the cumulative long liquidation pressure on CEXs is projected to reach $977 million, amplifying the risk of further downward momentum in the short term [2]. Meanwhile, broader market analysis suggests that both bulls and bears are positioned around critical price levels, with significant leverage exposure on either side [3].The recent price action has seen Bitcoin briefly rebound above $112,000, a level that has historically served as a key psychological and technical support. This move liquidated short positions amounting to $14.32 million within an hour, according to data from CoinGlass [1]. Analysts, including Skew, noted that the rebound was supported by strong buying interest at $100 million, reinforcing the belief that the $112,000 level is a crucial test for the sustainability of the current bullish momentum. Michael van de Poppe of MN Capital echoed this sentiment, suggesting that a confirmed breakout above $112,000 could signal another major long opportunity [1].
On the technical side, Bitcoin’s price remains in a consolidation phase after a recent dip below $110,000, where buyers absorbed some of the selling pressure. The 50-day and 100-day exponential moving averages are converging, indicating short-term uncertainty. A breakdown below the $108,000 level could intensify forced selling and lead to further price erosion. Conversely, a sustained move above $112,000 could trigger short squeezes and potentially push the price toward $114,000 [3]. Coinglass’s liquidation heatmap highlights these key levels, with both long and short positions concentrated in zones that could see significant volatility if tested [3].
Looking ahead, market participants are closely monitoring the upcoming U.S. jobs report, which could influence the Federal Reserve’s interest rate policy and, by extension, Bitcoin’s trajectory. With expectations leaning toward a 25 basis point rate cut at the September meeting, there is potential for a broader macroeconomic shift that could impact risk-on assets [1]. However, analysts remain cautious, as historical data and fractal cycle patterns suggest that October could be a pivotal turning point for Bitcoin’s direction, with either a sharp surge or a steep correction on the table [3].
The Bitcoin-to-stablecoin reserve ratio on Binance, a key indicator of market sentiment, has recently approached parity, a level historically associated with market bottoms [3]. While this could signal a potential support level, it may also indicate the early stages of a larger correction. The current neutral to mildly greedy sentiment, as reflected in the CoinGlass Fear and Greed Index, underscores the delicate balance between optimism and caution in the market [3].
Source: [1] Bitcoin analysts see a 'massive' move as BTC price regains ... (https://cointelegraph.com/news/bitcoin-analysts-see-massive-move-btc-price-regains-112k) [2] If BTC falls below $105710, the cumulative long liquidation ... (https://www.chaincatcher.com/en/article/2203523) [3] If Bitcoin Price Collapses, How Low Will It Go? (https://99bitcoins.com/news/bitcoin-btc/if-bitcoin-price-collapses-how-low-will-it-go/)

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