Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Gains 0.8% as Retail Buying Drives Bullish Momentum

Bitcoin is showing signs of potential to break above its previous all-time high, driven by a noticeable shift in market dynamics. The average executed order size in Bitcoin futures has declined significantly in recent months, a trend typically linked to increased retail participation rather than institutional activity [1]. This shift is evident from the growing number of smaller, retail-sized orders dominating the trading landscape, indicating a broader base of demand for the digital asset [1].

On-chain data further supports this narrative, revealing a surge in retail-driven buying behavior. A recent analysis by CryptoQuant contributor ShayanMarkets highlights a growing presence of red clusters—representing smaller orders—contrasting with the yellow and green clusters seen in late 2024 and early 2025, which coincided with whale inflows and strong bullish rallies [1]. This suggests that the current rally may be more grassroots in nature, with individual investors increasingly shaping Bitcoin’s price action.

Retail participation is also being supported by a strategy known as Smart DCA (dollar-cost averaging), a more adaptive approach where investors adjust the size and timing of their purchases based on market conditions rather than fixed intervals. This strategy is being widely adopted as investors position themselves ahead of potential further price appreciation [1]. Unlike traditional DCA, Smart DCA often integrates technical indicators such as moving averages and RSI to optimize accumulation during periods of perceived undervaluation.

However, not all signs point to unidirectional bullish momentum. On-chain data also indicates an uptick in whale-to-exchange inflows on major platforms like Binance, which has historically been a precursor to price pullbacks. Additionally, changes in realized cap metrics for Bitcoin whales suggest a degree of fragility in the current market structure [1]. These developments raise the possibility of a near-term correction, particularly if institutional buyers continue to sit on their positions or await more favorable re-entry points [1].

Despite these cautionary signals, some analysts believe Bitcoin remains on track for another strong rally in the second half of 2025, with price targets as high as $150,000 [1]. At the time of reporting, Bitcoin traded at $119,583, showing a 0.8% gain over the past 24 hours. The four-hour chart remains bullish, with the 50-day moving average supporting the short-term upward trend [1].

The current retail-driven rally stands in contrast to previous institutional-led phases, signaling a maturing market structure where individual traders are playing an increasingly influential role. This shift not only reflects broader adoption but also highlights the accessibility of digital assets through user-friendly trading platforms. As retail activity continues to grow, it could provide the necessary underpinning for Bitcoin to break out to new heights, provided whale activity does not disrupt the momentum through distribution phases.

The coming weeks will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can consolidate its gains and push beyond its prior all-time high. Any renewed large-scale whale activity could signal a shift in sentiment, while continued retail buying may reinforce the current bullish trajectory.

Source:

[1] https://www.newsbtc.com/bitcoin-news/bitcoin-price-ath-average-executed-retail-activity/