Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's Final Rally Gains Momentum 35% Q4 Rally Projected as Dominance Rises 23% to 64% Resistance

Bitcoin's price trajectory has drawn renewed attention from analysts as historical patterns and recent market behavior suggest the cryptocurrency could be entering a final rally phase ahead of the year-end. Data from Coindoo highlights that if the current trend persists, Bitcoin could surpass $160,000 by year-end, leveraging historical correlations between the asset and gold [1]. This projection aligns with Finbold’s analysis, which notes a 35% potential rally in the fourth quarter based on a comparative study of Bitcoin and gold’s price cycles [2]. Meanwhile, AInvest observes a 23% increase in Bitcoin’s dominance since mid-2024, nearing the 64% resistance level—a threshold historically associated with shifts in capital toward altcoins [3].

The cryptocurrency’s recent performance underscores its volatility. After hitting a record $123,000 in mid-July, Bitcoin’s price has remained in a choppy consolidation phase, hovering above $115,000 [4]. However, technical indicators suggest bullish momentum. Crypto Rover’s analysis indicates that breaking the $122,000 level could trigger a rapid surge to $140,000, fueled by retail and institutional buying activity [5]. Michael Saylor’s latest moves further reinforce market confidence; the MicroStrategy CEO’s Strategy Inc. has hinted at accumulating more Bitcoin following IPO-funded reserve expansions [6].

Retail investor sentiment appears synchronized with institutional strategies. AInvest notes a 106% surge in Bitcoin’s price within a short window, attributed to a "final wave" pattern observed in historical cycles [7]. This aligns with Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan’s bullish stance, who argues Bitcoin could defy its four-year cyclical pattern and deliver gains in 2026 [8]. While these forecasts remain speculative, the growing on-chain volume—exemplified by Ethereum’s 288% three-week increase—reflects broader market participation and speculative fervor [9].

The convergence of historical data, technical signals, and strategic accumulation by major players paints a cautiously optimistic picture. However, the market remains sensitive to macroeconomic shifts, as evidenced by CoinCentral’s coverage of US-China tariff discussions influencing Bitcoin’s price dynamics in early July [10].

Source:

[1] [Coindoo] [https://coindoo.com/bitcoin-may-be-entering-final-rally-phase-historical-data-shows/]

[2] [Finbold] [https://finbold.com/analyst-predicts-bitcoin-price-for-q4/]

[3] [AInvest] [https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-dominance-nears-64-resistance-23-percentage-points-rise-mid-2024-shift-capital-altcoins-2507/]

[4] [TradingView] [https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:cb277508d094b:0-bitcoin-price-holds-above-115-000-here-s-why-this-level-is-significant/]

[5] [Blockchain] [https://blockchain.news/flashnews/bitcoin-btc-price-breakout-key-122-000-level-signals-potential-surge-to-140-000]

[6] [CoinCentral] [https://coincentral.com/michael-saylor-signals-strategys-next-big-bitcoin-accumulation-move/]

[7] [AInvest] [https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-surges-106-final-wave-gains-momentum-driven-retail-institutional-frenzy-2507/]

[8] [Cryptonews] [https://cryptonews.com/news/bitwise-cio-bets-on-bitcoin-rally-in-2026-defying-4-year-cycle/]

[9] [Mitrade] [https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-990030-20250727]

[10] [CoinCentral] [https://coincentral.com/bitcoin-price-nears-record-high-amid-us-china-tariff-truce-talks/]