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Bitcoin's price on July 25, 2025, is trading near $115,600 after a sharp intraday decline that breached the lower boundary of a descending channel on the 4-hour chart. This move also pierced a key ascending trendline that had supported price rebounds since early July, signaling potential bearish momentum. The breakdown below $116,000 raises concerns about a trend shift, particularly as the price closed under the $115,300 threshold, a critical level for confirming further declines toward $113,000 or lower [1].
Technical indicators reinforce the bearish narrative. The 30-minute RSI collapsed to 26.9, entering oversold territory, while the MACD expanded negatively, with both signal lines trending below zero [1]. Derivatives data highlights short dominance, with the long/short ratio dropping to 0.933 and $138.2 million in long liquidations over 24 hours [1]. A 31.75% surge in trading volume and a 6.89% increase in open interest to $88.3 billion further underscore the intensity of the selloff.
The breakdown of the 4-hour descending channel has triggered volatility spikes, with Bollinger Bands expanding as
briefly touched $115,100. The 20, 50, and 100 EMAs are curving downward, positioning the 200 EMA at $113,545 as a critical support level. Price remains below all EMAs, signaling a short-term bearish bias unless bulls reclaim the $117,000 cluster [1]. On the weekly chart, Bitcoin holds within a rising channel but faces resistance near $120,300, with a potential pullback toward $110,000 if daily structure fails [1].Analysts note that a decisive close above $116,200 could halt the downward trend, allowing price to retest $118,000 and $120,300. However, given the bearish momentum in volume and momentum indicators, traders are advised to wait for confirmation of support near $113,500 before initiating long positions [1].
The key resistance and support levels include $116,800 (EMA cluster), $118,000 (prior mid-channel), and $120,300 (weekly high) on the upside, while critical supports are at $113,545 (200 EMA), $112,000 (daily BOS zone), and the $112,000–$111,000 range [1].
Source: [1] [Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction for July 25](https://coinedition.com/bitcoin-btc-price-prediction-for-july-25-2025/)
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