Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin Eyes $130K If $110K Support Holds Amid Strong ETF Inflows and MVRV Model Signals

Bitcoin’s price trajectory could see a significant upward shift, with forecasts suggesting the cryptocurrency might reach $130,000 by 2025 if it sustains support above the $110,000–$112,000 range [1][2]. This projection is underpinned by on-chain metrics such as the MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Pricing Bands model, which currently positions Bitcoin near the +1.5σ deviation level [3]. Analysts argue that maintaining this critical support zone could propel the asset toward the +2.0σ level, approximately $130,000, as the model highlights key price areas that may shape its short- to medium-term movement [1].

The bullish outlook is further reinforced by sustained institutional demand and ETF inflows, which have driven a net $82 billion in market inflows over the past 30 days [4]. This demand, combined with a supply squeeze—where ETFs absorb more Bitcoin than miners produce—has limited available supply, creating upward price pressure [4]. Captain Faibik, a noted analyst, emphasizes that Bitcoin is approaching a falling wedge breakout pattern, historically associated with new all-time highs [2]. The cryptocurrency currently trades above $117,000, with $119,500 identified as a pivotal resistance level that, if breached, could validate the bullish momentum [1].

However, the path to $130,000 is contingent on overcoming immediate challenges. A breakdown below the $110,000–$112,000 support zone could trigger profit-taking or liquidations, pushing prices toward lower levels and delaying the timeline for achieving the $130,000 target [3]. Analysts caution that while the technical case remains intact, macroeconomic variables such as U.S. interest rate decisions and regulatory developments could introduce volatility [1]. The current price environment reflects a balance between bearish exhaustion and bullish conviction, with subdued 30-day net inflows suggesting cautious accumulation rather than panic-driven buying [4].

Market participants are advised to monitor key indicators closely. Holding above $110,000 would signal continued institutional and retail confidence, while a sustained decline below $100,000 could reignite bearish sentiment [4]. The MVRV model’s signals, coupled with ETF dynamics and technical patterns, position Bitcoin at a critical juncture. If the asset stabilizes above its key support levels, the road to $130,000 becomes more viable, driven by multi-stage participation from institutional investors and derivative markets [5]. Conversely, a breakdown would necessitate a reevaluation of intermediate targets, potentially shifting focus to the $90,000–$100,000 range [5].

The cryptocurrency’s trajectory underscores the interplay of technical, on-chain, and behavioral factors. As Bitcoin approaches critical junctures, participants must balance optimism with caution, recognizing that the coming months will test its resilience. The $110,000 support level serves as both a benchmark and a battleground, with its performance dictating the next phase of its price action.

Sources:

[1] [Bitcoin Could Reach $130K If It Holds Key Support Above ...] (https://coincentral.com/bitcoin-could-reach-130k-if-it-holds-key-support-above-110k/)

[2] [Bitcoin MVRV Pricing Bands Hint At $130K, But Only If This ...] (https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:8bbf7cb1e094b:0-bitcoin-mvrv-pricing-bands-hint-at-130k-but-only-if-this-support-holds/)

[3] [Bitcoin MVRV Bands Signal $130K Target If $110K ...] (https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-mvrv-bands-signal-130k-target-110k-support-holds-2507/)

[4] [Bitcoin Analysts Target $130K If Support Above $110K ...] (https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2025/07/27/bitcoin-analysts-target-130k-if-support-above-110k-holds-steady/)

[5] [Bitcoin Could Hit $130K If It Maintains $110K Support Per ...] (https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-hit-130k-maintains-110k-support-mvrv-model-2507/)