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Bitcoin dominance is approaching a critical 3-week MACD bearish cross, a technical signal historically linked to a decline in Bitcoin’s market share and a surge in altcoin activity. This pattern, last observed in January 2020, was followed by a 105-day altcoin rally and a sharp drop in Bitcoin’s dominance [1]. Analysts suggest the current market structure closely mirrors that period, raising expectations for a similar shift. Altcoin indices TOTAL2 and TOTAL3 have recently formed golden crosses, reinforcing the thesis that capital is rotating from
to altcoins [2]. These bullish signals indicate growing momentum in the altcoin sector, with market participants describing the trend as “textbook capital rotation” [3].The 3W MACD bearish cross on Bitcoin dominance occurs when the short-term moving average falls below the long-term average, signaling potential weakening in Bitcoin’s hold over the market. Historical data from the 2020 cycle shows that this event preceded a sustained altcoin outperformance. CrypFlow’s analysis projects a 105-day altseason beginning with the current MACD cross, aligning with the 2020 timeline and extending through October 2025 if the pattern holds [4]. This projection is based on the alignment of technical indicators and past market behavior, though it remains a forecast rather than a confirmed outcome.
Altcoin indices TOTAL2 and TOTAL3, which track the performance of multiple cryptocurrencies, have shown golden crosses—where a short-term moving average crosses above a long-term average. These events are widely regarded as bullish signals, suggesting increased investor confidence in altcoins. The simultaneous occurrence of these crosses, combined with the bearish cross in Bitcoin dominance, creates a compelling case for a market reallocation of capital [5]. Traders are advised to monitor these indicators closely, as they provide a data-driven framework for anticipating shifts in market dynamics.
The 105-day timeline derived from the 2020 cycle adds weight to the current technical outlook. During that period, Bitcoin dominance fell sharply, while altcoins experienced a prolonged rally. If the 2025 scenario follows a similar trajectory, the altcoin surge could last until October, offering opportunities for investors to capitalize on emerging trends. However, market conditions are subject to change, and unforeseen factors could alter the projected outcome.
For traders, the convergence of these signals—Bitcoin’s weakening dominance, altcoin indices’ bullish crosses, and the projected 105-day window—creates a clear focal point for strategic decision-making. Historical precedent and current technical patterns suggest that altcoins may outperform Bitcoin in the coming months. While this analysis is grounded in observable data, it is important to distinguish between forecasts and actual market performance. Investors should remain cautious and continuously reassess their positions based on real-time developments.
Source: [1] [Bitcoin Dominance Nears Potential 3W MACD Bearish Cross Amid Signs of Altcoin Momentum][https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-dominance-nears-potential-3w-macd-bearish-cross-amid-signs-of-altcoin-momentum/], [2] [Bitcoin Dominance Nears Potential 3W MACD Bearish Cross Amid Signs of Altcoin Momentum][https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-dominance-nears-potential-3w-macd-bearish-cross-amid-signs-of-altcoin-momentum/], [3] [Bitcoin Dominance Nears Potential 3W MACD Bearish Cross Amid Signs of Altcoin Momentum][https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-dominance-nears-potential-3w-macd-bearish-cross-amid-signs-of-altcoin-momentum/], [4] [Bitcoin Dominance Nears Potential 3W MACD Bearish Cross Amid Signs of Altcoin Momentum][https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-dominance-nears-potential-3w-macd-bearish-cross-amid-signs-of-altcoin-momentum/], [5] [Bitcoin Dominance Nears Potential 3W MACD Bearish Cross Amid Signs of Altcoin Momentum][https://en.coinotag.com/bitcoin-dominance-nears-potential-3w-macd-bearish-cross-amid-signs-of-altcoin-momentum/].
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