Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's CVD Hints at $135K as Analysts Warn of 60% Correction Risk


Bitcoin's recent price action on Binance has drawn attention to its Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) Confirmation Score, a metric indicating strong buyer demand. Following a record high of $126,199 on the exchange, BitcoinBTC-- (BTC) has consolidated in the $120,000 range. Current CVD Confirmation Scores hover between 0.8 and 0.9, signaling that price gains are supported by genuine taker buying rather than speculative momentum [1]. This aligns with historical patterns where scores above 0.7 correlate with shallow corrections and sustained uptrends, as new liquidity absorbs supply [2].
CryptoQuant contributor Arab Chain noted that if the CVD Confirmation Score remains above 0.7 and BTCBTC-- breaks through the $124,000–$126,000 resistance zone, the price could target $135,000 [1]. However, a drop below 0.4 in the score amid rising prices would signal distribution risks. Support levels at $112,000–$115,000 and $108,000–$110,000 are critical for maintaining the bullish trend, with stable CVD readings required to confirm continuation [2].
While the CVD data suggests robust buying pressure, some analysts caution against immediate optimism. Crypto analyst ZVN predicts a potential pullback before BTC reaches $150,000, while Dick Dandy warns of a 60% correction to $43,900 [2]. At press time, BTC traded at $118,791, reflecting a 1.8% decline over 24 hours [2].
The CVD Confirmation Score's reliability stems from its 30-day correlation between price and volume delta, measuring net taker buy/sell activity. High scores (above 0.7) validate real demand, whereas low scores suggest weak momentum [1]. Binance, the world's highest-volume exchange, remains central to this dynamic, with its data underscoring the importance of monitoring open interest, funding rates, and CVD imbalances as early warning signals [1].
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