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The cryptocurrency market faced renewed turbulence in late October and early November 2025, with
(BTC) tumbling below $100,000 for the first time in three months amid escalating macroeconomic uncertainties and shifting institutional sentiment. The price decline, which erased 20% of its value from October highs near $124,500, coincided with over $1.3 billion in liquidations across the crypto sector, according to . Bitcoin's struggles were compounded by a 0.33% 24-hour gain to $110,507, a modest rebound that failed to offset broader bearish momentum, as noted.Market participants pointed to a confluence of factors: a $700 billion liquidity drain from the U.S. Treasury General Account (TGA) following a government shutdown, rising geopolitical tensions, and tepid ETF inflows. The TGA's ballooning balance to $1 trillion siphoned capital from risk assets, including crypto, exacerbating Bitcoin's downward spiral, according to
. Meanwhile, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a fourth consecutive day of outflows, totaling $187 million on Nov. 3, as institutional investors rotated into short-term bonds amid global uncertainties, the Yahoo report added.
Despite the bearish backdrop, some analysts detected early signs of stabilization. Stablecoin supply surged past $250 billion globally, with Binance alone seeing $1.6 billion in inflows over five days, suggesting investors were positioning for potential buying opportunities, according to
. The Stablecoin Supply Ratio (SSR) oscillator entered negative territory—a historical precursor to market bottoms—reinforcing optimism about a gradual recovery. "The current imbalance between stablecoin liquidity and Bitcoin's valuation mirrors patterns from 2023 and 2024, which preceded recoveries," noted CryptoQuant analysts.Bitcoin miners, however, remained bullish on the long-term. Expansions at major operations, including Trump-linked American Bitcoin's $314 million ASIC purchase, signaled confidence in the "Bitcoin money vessel" concept, according to
. The network's hash rate, a proxy for mining activity, hit a new peak, which analysts described as a "clear long-term bullish signal." Yet, short-term pain persisted: Bitcoin's dominance in the crypto market dipped to 58.48%, while 70% of coins in the top 200 lost value in the past 24 hours, Coincodex reported.The bear case, however, remains intact. Vineet Budki of Sigma Capital warned that Bitcoin's 4-year cycle could see a 70% retracement during the next downturn, driven by retail investors' lack of understanding and poor user experience in stablecoin ecosystems, Budki cautioned in
. James Check, a Bitcoin on-chain analyst, highlighted accelerating selling pressure from older holders, with the average age of sold coins rising to 100 days from 30 days in previous cycles, a point made in .Looking ahead, analysts at Bitfinex pinned hopes on Fed easing and renewed ETF inflows to push Bitcoin toward $140,000 by November, Cointelegraph reported. However, risks loomed large, including Trump's proposed tariffs and geopolitical volatility. "This is a pivotal moment," said one analyst. "The market is testing whether Bitcoin can evolve from a speculative asset to a true store of value."
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