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Bitcoin’s price on July 28, 2025, remained within a narrow range of $118,629 to $118,823, signaling a continuation of its consolidation phase between $117,000 and $120,000 [1]. This follows a broader uptrend that lifted the cryptocurrency from $98,240 to a peak of $123,236 earlier in the year, though it has since entered a period of sideways movement [2]. Despite the consolidation, bullish momentum persists, supported by a $4 billion surge in Bitcoin open interest driven by whale activity, which analysts attribute to long-term positioning efforts [3]. The total crypto market cap has also stabilized at $3.82 trillion, reflecting sustained investor confidence [4].
However, a decline in trading volume during the consolidation phase has prompted caution among traders and analysts. While Bitcoin’s price action—marked by higher highs and higher lows—confirms an overarching uptrend, the reduced volume suggests diminished short-term conviction. This divergence between price and volume has historically preceded periods of volatility or extended pauses in price movement [2]. The $123,000 level remains a critical resistance target, with the $117,000 support zone acting as a psychological barrier to further declines. Analysts emphasize that Bitcoin’s ability to retest and surpass $123,000 will be a key determinant of the trend’s strength. A failure to break above this level could trigger profit-taking and a retest of the $117,000 support, potentially invalidating the current bullish thesis [2].
The interplay between open interest and volume highlights a tug-of-war between bullish and bearish forces. On one hand, rising open interest suggests continued buying from institutional and retail investors seeking long-term gains. On the other, the lack of aggressive volume during consolidation indicates a lack of consensus among traders, which could prolong the sideways phase. Market participants are advised to monitor these metrics closely, as they may dictate whether the consolidation resolves into a continuation of the uptrend or a deeper correction [2].
The broader crypto market’s resilience, as evidenced by the $3.82 trillion market cap, underscores sustained demand for digital assets despite macroeconomic uncertainties [4]. Yet, the volume drop raises questions about whether the market is overbought or if external factors—such as regulatory developments or macroeconomic data—have dampened speculative activity [2]. For traders, the immediate focus remains on Bitcoin’s behavior near its consolidation range. A breakout above $123,000 on robust volume could reignite the uptrend, potentially pushing the price toward $130,000. Conversely, a breakdown below $117,000 would signal a shift in sentiment and open the door to a retest of the May lows. The coming weeks will be pivotal in determining the trajectory of the market [2].
Market participants are urged to remain vigilant as the balance between price, volume, and open interest remains a key barometer for Bitcoin’s next directional move. While the long-term bullish case appears intact, short-term volatility remains a risk, necessitating a cautious approach to position sizing and risk management [1].
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[1] [Bitcoin Price Watch: Uptrend Intact, but Volume Drop Raises Caution](https://news.bitcoin.com/bitcoin-price-watch-uptrend-intact-but-volume-drop-raises-caution/)
[2] [Bitcoin Trapped in $117k-$120k Technical Stalemate](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-trapped-117k-120k-technical-stalemate-buyers-sellers-deadlock-2507/)
[3] [$4B Increase In Bitcoin Open Interest Fueled By Whale Activity](https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-989482-20250727)
[4] [The 4-Year Cycle Is Dead: Matt Hougan Breaks Down Long-Term Trends](https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-989955-20250727)
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