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Bitcoin remains entrenched above the $114,000 level, with traders and analysts closely monitoring whether it can surmount the $115.5K resistance to reignite an upward trend. The price has been consolidating in a narrow range between $114K and $116K, suggesting that market participants are waiting for a definitive breakout or breakdown signal before committing to further directional moves [1].
According to recent analysis, a decisive close above $115.5K could set the stage for a potential move toward the $120K–$126K zone. This would represent a continuation of the broader uptrend, especially as
has been holding above major moving averages within the $115.7K–$122K range. However, failure to break through this key resistance could lead to a retest of the $114K support level, with further downside potentially targeting the $112K–$110K range [2].The market structure suggests that Bitcoin may have already gone through an accumulation phase, with investors steadily withdrawing BTC from exchanges rather than selling, as evidenced by a long-standing negative Exchange Netflow on centralized platforms since late 2024. This outflow points to strong accumulation behavior, particularly from long-term holders and institutional players, indicating that the broader bullish trend may still be intact despite recent volatility [3].
Nonetheless, Bitcoin is nearing historically overvalued levels, which may trigger profit-taking and short-term selling pressure. As BTC tests key psychological levels, this friction between tight liquidity and increasing demand for profit could result in heightened volatility in the coming weeks. Analysts warn that while the underlying demand dynamics remain bullish, the price must first navigate a consolidation or corrective phase before making a meaningful move higher [3].
At the moment, Bitcoin is trading at $114,937, having previously faced a sharp correction from its all-time high of $123,000. The price has lost the critical $115,724 level, now acting as immediate resistance. A retest of this level is underway, but the 50-day moving average at $115,100 is providing some resistance, signaling that bullish momentum is not yet firmly established [3].
The 100-day moving average at $108,100 remains a key support level, and a failure to reclaim the $115K mark could increase the likelihood of a deeper pullback. Conversely, a strong volume-driven break above $115.724 could signal renewed buying interest and potentially push the price back toward the $120K–$122K zone [3].
In summary, Bitcoin is at a critical juncture. The immediate price action will determine whether the market continues its bullish trajectory or enters a consolidation phase. Investors are advised to closely monitor key resistance and support levels, as well as on-chain activity, for further clues about the next leg of the market cycle.
Source:
[1] Pump or Trap? The Critical BTC Moment Traders Can't... (https://www.binance.com/square/post/27901358552514)
[2] BTC Structure Update (August 5) The classic Accumulation... (https://www.facebook.com/groups/2820159****72964/posts/btc-structure-update-august-5the-classic-accumulation-manipulation-distribution/4051025995153007/)
[3] Bitcoin Spot Market Dries Up: Relentless Buying Off... (https://www.mitrade.com/au/insights/news/live-news/article-3-1014307-20250806)

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