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Bitcoin’s recent price action has solidified its status as a market leader, with the cryptocurrency maintaining above $112,000 following a critical breakout that has ignited bullish sentiment. After months of consolidation,
closed above the $112,000 resistance level, triggering a technical pattern analysts describe as a "Cup and Handle" formation. This structure, characterized by a U-shaped trough followed by a smaller handle, historically signals sustained upward momentum. The depth of the cup, formed during February’s lows near $80,000, has positioned the $148,000 target in focus, a level widely cited by traders as a potential destination if the pattern holds [1].The breakout has coincided with a 35% surge in trading volume, reflecting increased liquidity and participation from both retail and institutional investors. Bitcoin’s market dominance has climbed to over 62%, a 23% increase since mid-2024, as capital flows away from altcoins and into the leading cryptocurrency [3]. On-chain metrics further underscore this trend: buyer inflows have risen by nearly 45%, and the price has gained 20% over 90 days, reinforcing a long-term bullish structure.
Technical analysts highlight key support levels at $112,000 and $104,000 as critical for maintaining the upward trajectory. As long as Bitcoin remains above these thresholds, the path to $130,000 and eventually $150,000 appears viable. A breakdown below $112,000, however, could trigger a retreat to $104,000 or $90,000 before resuming higher trends. The recent pullback to $116,000 from a high of $124,000 demonstrates the market’s resilience, with the price stabilizing above the breakout level [5].
The inverse head and shoulders pattern, another bullish indicator, has emerged as Bitcoin tests the $110,000–$112,000 range post-breakout. This pattern, often associated with trend reversals, suggests a potential target near $148,000 if the neckline holds. Analysts at AInvest note that Bitcoin’s current consolidation near $115,000 is crucial for validating the pattern’s integrity, with further gains contingent on maintaining this support [9].
Market dynamics are also being shaped by institutional activity. Michael Saylor’s Strategy Inc. has hinted at increased Bitcoin accumulation following expanded reserves from IPO funding, aligning with broader strategic moves by major players [10]. Meanwhile, retail investor enthusiasm has surged, exemplified by a 106% price rally in a short period, which analysts attribute to a "final wave" pattern observed in historical cycles [11]. On-chain volume surges, such as Ethereum’s 288% three-week increase, highlight growing speculative participation across the crypto ecosystem [12].
Predictive models add nuance to the outlook. Coindoo projects a potential $160,000 peak by year-end, leveraging historical correlations with gold [6], while Finbold estimates a 35% rally in Q4 based on comparative price cycles [2]. Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan suggests Bitcoin may defy its traditional four-year cycle, delivering gains into 2026 [8]. These forecasts, however, hinge on Bitcoin sustaining its consolidation above $115,000 and navigating critical resistance zones.
Despite the optimism, macroeconomic factors remain a wildcard. Discussions around US-China trade policies in mid-July highlighted how geopolitical developments can influence Bitcoin’s price trajectory [13]. The asset’s resilience in recovering to $117,000 after intense selling pressure in early July further signals robust investor confidence [14].
The convergence of technical signals, strategic accumulation, and heightened market participation paints a cautiously optimistic picture. However, achieving projected targets will require Bitcoin to maintain institutional-retail alignment and navigate volatility. For now, the $148,000 target looms as a focal point, with traders closely monitoring volume and price action for confirmation.
Sources:
[1] [title] [https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/68872efe361abe5ce4db1f5b/]
[2] [Finbold] [https://finbold.com/analyst-predicts-bitcoin-price-for-q4/]
[3] [AInvest] [https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-dominance-nears-64-resistance-23-percentage-points-rise-mid-2024-shift-capital-altcoins-2507/]
[5] [AInvest] [https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-nears-122k-breakout-82b-inflows-fuel-bullish-momentum-tightening-wedge-pattern-2507/]
[6] [Coindoo] [https://coindoo.com/bitcoin-may-be-entering-final-rally-phase-historical-data-shows/]
[9] [TradingView] [https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:cb277708d094b:0-bitcoin-price-holds-above-115-000-here-s-why-this-level-is-significant/]
[10] [CoinCentral] [https://coincentral.com/michael-saylor-signals-strategys-next-big-bitcoin-accumulation-move/]
[11] [AInvest] [https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-surges-106-final-wave-gains-momentum-driven-retail-institutional-frenzy-2507/]
[12] [Mitrade] [https://www.mitrade.com/insights/news/live-news/article-3-990030-20250727]
[13] [CoinCentral] [https://coincentral.com/bitcoin-price-nears-record-high-amid-us-china-tariff-truce-talks/]
[14] [TradingView] [https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:b4a9d9464094b:0-bitcoin-endures-one-of-the-most-intense-bear-weeks-of-this-bull-cycle-details/]

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