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Bitcoin's price action has intensified focus on the $99,000 psychological threshold, a level that has historically served as a pivotal support/resistance zone during previous bull-bear transitions. As of November 26, 2025,
trades at $87,615, having slipped below the $90,000 mark amid a broader market correction driven by leveraged liquidations and macroeconomic uncertainties . Analysts and institutional observers are closely monitoring whether this level—once a symbolic fair value line during past cycles—can hold as a critical inflection point for the cryptocurrency's trajectory.The current bearish momentum has been amplified by a confluence of factors. Over $285 million in liquidations occurred in the 24 hours ending November 26, with Bitcoin,
, and HYPE tokens bearing the brunt of the losses . The Fear & Greed Index, a widely followed sentiment indicator, has plummeted to 15 (Extreme Fear), among traders. Meanwhile, the rivalry between tech giants Google and has injected volatility into the broader market. Google's Gemini 3 AI model, trained on its custom TPUs, triggered a 7% intraday drop in Nvidia's stock price, erasing $350 billion in market value before partial recovery . This sectoral shift underscores how macroeconomic forces and technological competition are increasingly intertwined with crypto market dynamics.Technical analysis paints a mixed picture for Bitcoin's near-term outlook.
that the $80,000–$86,500 range represents critical support, with further declines potentially testing the $70,000–$80,000 zone. Conversely, some analysts see a path for a rebound. Jason Huang of NextGen Digital Venture argues that the recent 30% pullback is a liquidity-driven correction rather than a structural bear market, .
The $99,000 level carries particular significance in historical context. During the 2024–2025 cycle, Bitcoin briefly tested this threshold before retreating, and
that failure to break above $93,000 could prolong bearish sentiment. Coinpedia's long-term projections suggest a potential 2025 high of $168,000, . However, structural challenges persist. The UK's sale of seized Bitcoin and the slowing issuance rate (just 600,000 BTC produced in this cycle vs. 10 million in 2008–2012) and scarcity-driven optimism.Ethereum, meanwhile, has shown resilience. Fundstrat's Tom Lee and whale activity suggest the altcoin is building strength for a potential "supercycle,"
. Ethereum ETFs have seen $78.58 million in inflows over three consecutive days, .The broader market environment remains fragile. VanEck's data reveals a 49.3K BTC outflow from ETPs since October 10,
amid rate cut uncertainty. Yet, Bitcoin ETFs still attracted $129 million in inflows, , as investors hedge against macroeconomic shifts.As the Federal Reserve prepares to end quantitative tightening on December 1 and signals potential rate cuts, the market awaits clarity on how these policies will interact with crypto's intrinsic dynamics. The coming weeks will test whether Bitcoin can stabilize above $85,000–$86,500 to reverse its bearish momentum—or if the $99,000 fair value line will remain a symbolic, unattainable benchmark in this cycle.
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