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Bitcoin plunged below $88,000 in early December, marking a sharp reversal from its recent rebound above $90,000 and signaling renewed risk-off sentiment in the cryptocurrency market. The selloff followed a volatile week that saw the asset surge 4.35% in 24 hours before retreating, driven by shifting macroeconomic expectations and institutional activity. Analysts are now scrutinizing technical indicators and institutional positioning to assess whether the decline represents a short-term correction or a broader bearish trend.

Technical analysis highlighted mixed signals.
continued to act as overhead resistance, capping rebounds. However, bullish momentum emerged in the form of a 3.35% gain in the broader crypto market, with and showing tentative signs of stabilization. Ethereum's relative strength index (RSI) inched toward 41, suggesting narrowing bearish momentum, while amid institutional inflows tied to new ETFs. Analysts noted that XRP's V-shaped recovery was supported by $164 million in initial inflows from Franklin Templeton's XRPZ and Grayscale's GXRP, signaling renewed confidence in altcoins.The market's macroeconomic backdrop added complexity.
was fueled in part by growing expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, with probabilities rising 46% in a week. This dynamic gained urgency as Kevin Hassett, a crypto-friendly economist and Trump ally, to replace Jerome Powell as Fed Chair. Hassett's dovish stance-advocating for faster rate cuts and a pro-crypto policy framework-has bolstered speculation that the central bank could adopt a more accommodative stance, potentially easing pressure on risk assets. [Futures market data also suggested a "leverage washout"] , where aggressive shorting had stabilized, creating a foundation for a more sustainable rally.Despite these positives, structural challenges remain.
, a level critical to rekindling a push toward $93,000. A breakdown below $86,000 would test a key support zone identified by analyst Lennaert Snyder. On the ETF front, in two weeks, though cumulative inflows of $21 million paled in comparison to the $903 million outflows seen earlier in November. The ETF landscape remains pivotal, as these products have historically driven Bitcoin's price action in 2025.Looking ahead, the market's focus will shift to the Fed's December 10 meeting and the outcome of the Fed Chair nomination process. If Hassett's dovish policies materialize, they could amplify liquidity for risk assets, including Bitcoin, by reducing borrowing costs and encouraging capital rotation out of cash and into equities and crypto. For now, traders are balancing optimism about macroeconomic tailwinds with caution over technical hurdles and institutional positioning.
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