Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's 72% Profitability Challenges Death Cross Bearish Outlook


Bitcoin's recent price decline has drawn comparisons to past market turbulence, but industry figures suggest the current downturn is less severe than the 2022 crypto crash. Following a drop below $107,250-a-key support level turned resistance-Bitcoin (BTC) slid to $105,000, reinforcing concerns about an impending "death cross" technical pattern. The death cross, marked by the 50-day moving average crossing below the 200-day average, historically signals bearish momentumMMT--. However, analysts caution that this indicator has proven unreliable in recent cycles, with false signals emerging in September 2023, August 2024, and April 2025.
The current correction aligns with a broader "mid-cycle consolidation phase," according to Bitfinex analysts, who argue it mirrors prior inflection points in 2024 and 2025. They note that Bitcoin's 22% pullback from its all-time high-similar to previous retracements-suggests a temporary pause rather than the start of a prolonged bear market. Crucially, 72% of BTC supply remains in profit at $100,000, a metric analysts view as a positive sign for stabilization.
Technical indicators highlight the critical role of the $107,250 level. A sustained break above this threshold could negate bearish sentiment and pave the way for a recovery. Conversely, a confirmed breakdown below $100,000 would likely intensify selling pressure. The death cross's validity hinges on these price actions, though its mixed track record underscores the need for caution.
Market participants are also grappling with broader structural shifts. The failed $2 billion acquisition of stablecoin infrastructure firm BVNK by Coinbase-mutually terminated without explanation-reflects the sector's volatility. Meanwhile, stablecoin adoption in payments is accelerating with platforms like Exodus and Transak expanding compliance-driven solutions in Latin America and the U.S. These developments highlight stablecoins' growing utility, even as regulatory fragmentation complicates cross-border operations.
Despite near-term turbulence, the crypto market's resilience contrasts sharply with the 2022 crash, which saw Terra's collapse trigger a $1 trillion industry loss. The current environment, while choppy, lacks the same systemic risks, according to Bitfinex's analysts. Institutional demand, though subdued, remains intact, with BitcoinBTC-- ETFs reportedly attracting $300 million in inflows as traders "buy the dip".
As the market navigates this correction, the focus remains on whether Bitcoin can reclaim key psychological levels. A sustained rally above $107,250 would signal renewed bullish momentum, while further declines could test the depth of this consolidation phase. For now, the crypto landscape appears to be weathering the storm-albeit with a wary eye on the road ahead.
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