Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's $130K Target Hinges on $110K Support as ETF Inflows Hit $82B

Bitcoin’s potential ascent to $130,000 hinges on its ability to maintain critical support above $110,000, according to technical analyses from multiple sources. Analysts emphasize that sustaining this threshold—identified as a key support level via Glassnode’s MVRV pricing band model—could validate a bullish continuation toward the $130,000 target [1]. Current price action shows Bitcoin trading near $118,147, with accumulation zones between $110,000 and $112,000 playing a pivotal role in reinforcing upward momentum [2].

Technical analyst Michaël van de Poppe highlights that maintaining a price above $116,800 is essential for Bitcoin to build momentum toward all-time highs. The $119,500 resistance level is identified as the next significant barrier for a breakout [3]. Meanwhile, veteran trader Peter Brandt underscores Bitcoin’s dominance in the crypto market, noting its resilience compared to other digital assets. If the $110,000 support holds, a rally to $130,000 could align with the +2.0 sigma deviation in Glassnode’s model, which tracks statistical price distributions [4].

Capital inflows remain a critical factor in Bitcoin’s price stability. Over the past 30 days, net inflows totaled $82 billion, significantly lower than the $135 billion recorded during December’s peak when Bitcoin traded near $96,000 [5]. This moderation suggests that investor enthusiasm has not yet reached euphoric levels, creating a stable environment for further appreciation. Analysts view this as a positive sign, as subdued inflows reduce the risk of overheating and speculative bubbles.

Bitcoin’s market capitalization currently stands at $2.35 trillion, with trading volume declining by 53% to $49 billion. The consolidation phase below $119,500 indicates a balanced market, poised for gains without excessive volatility [6]. On-chain metrics, including a 93% profitability rate for Bitcoin addresses and historically low exchange reserves, further support the case for a sustained rally. A 90,000 BTC outflow from exchanges in a single week highlights a tightening supply dynamic, often preceding major price movements [7].

Institutional confidence is also evident, with a 12-day streak of net inflows into U.S. Bitcoin ETFs peaking at $363 million on July 18. This trend reflects growing adoption of Bitcoin as a strategic asset, particularly among corporations and institutional investors [8]. Analysts caution, however, that macroeconomic uncertainties—including geopolitical tensions and regulatory developments—could introduce short-term volatility. Yet, the current inflow pattern suggests investors are using dips to accumulate, rather than retreating from the market [9].

The $110,000 threshold serves as both a psychological and technical fulcrum. A breakdown below this level could trigger a pullback toward $115,000 or $111,000, as noted in TradingView analyses [10]. Conversely, maintaining strength above $110,000 validates bullish momentum, with $125,000 and ultimately $130,000 as potential targets. Technical analyst @Ali_charts attributes the $130,000 projection to the current proximity to the +1.5 sigma deviation in Glassnode’s model, with the +2.0 sigma range corresponding to the $130K level [11].

Market sentiment remains cautiously optimistic, with subdued inflows indicating measured accumulation rather than speculative frenzy. This environment allows Bitcoin to consolidate and build strength before challenging resistance levels. Analysts view this as conducive to sustainable growth rather than a speculative bubble [12].

[1] [Bitcoin $130K Outlook Tied to $110K Support, ETF Inflows Surge $82B in 30 Days](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-130k-outlook-tied-110k-support-etf-inflows-surge-82b-30-days-2507/)

[2] [Bitcoin MVRV Pricing Bands Hint At $130K, But Only If This ...](https://www.rootdata.com/news/142436)

[3] [Analyst Predicts Bitcoin May Hit $130K if $110K Support Holds](https://www.xt.com/en/blog/community-news/2025-07-27T20:59:39.000Z)

[4] [Bitcoin Price Prediction: $150K Target Amid Fresh BTC Accumulation](https://www.fxleaders.com/news/2025/07/27/bitcoin-price-prediction-150k-target-amid-fresh-btc-accumulation/)

[5] [Support $110k–$113k This Area Was Previous Resistance](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUSDT_5840B7.USD/ideas//page-16/?asset=base)

[6] [A Fall Below $117K May Invite a Deeper Pullback Toward $115K](https://in.tradingview.com/ideas/tatamotors/)