Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's $130K Outlook Tied to $110K Support, ETF Inflows Surge $82B in 30 Days

Bitcoin’s potential to reach $130,000 by 2025 hinges on maintaining critical support above $110,000, according to analysis rooted in technical indicators and market dynamics. The MVRV Pricing Bands model, a tool for measuring market value relative to realized value, suggests that Bitcoin’s current proximity to the +1.5σ deviation level indicates strong upside potential. If the cryptocurrency sustains above the $110,000–$112,000 support zone, it could push toward the +2.0σ level of approximately $130,000. This projection aligns with on-chain data emphasizing the importance of this price range as a foundation for further bullish momentum [1].

Key drivers supporting this outlook include sustained ETF inflows and a tightening supply dynamic. Institutional investors have absorbed more Bitcoin than miners are producing, creating a supply squeeze that limits available liquidity and reinforces upward pressure. Over the past 30 days, net market inflows totaled $82 billion, reflecting robust demand from institutional players [2]. Analyst Captain Faibik notes that Bitcoin is approaching a falling wedge technical pattern near $119,500, a breakout of which could signal a new all-time high, corroborating the MVRV model’s bullish implications [3].

Current price action reinforces the narrative of a potential breakout. Bitcoin trades above $117,000 as of July 2025, with $119,500 identified as a critical resistance level. Sustained trading above this threshold would confirm strengthening momentum and validate the $130,000 price target. However, the path to this level is not without risk. A breakdown below $110,000 could trigger renewed bearish pressure, potentially dragging prices toward $100,000 if broader macroeconomic uncertainties escalate [4].

The role of institutional demand remains pivotal. ETF inflows have amplified Bitcoin’s supply squeeze, with institutional absorption outpacing miner production. This dynamic, coupled with macroeconomic tailwinds and the U.S. election cycle, creates a favorable environment for price appreciation. Analysts emphasize that the absence of overheating in market inflows—despite significant institutional participation—suggests sustained demand without immediate signs of exhaustion [5].

Technical indicators further underscore the delicate balance between consolidation and breakout. The 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMA) at $110,580 and $90,392, respectively, highlight upward momentum as the current price exceeds both. The 14-day RSI at 60.43 signals proximity to overbought territory, indicating a market in transition rather than an extended rally [6]. These metrics, combined with subdued volatility, suggest a cautious yet optimistic stance among investors.

While the $130,000 target remains central to the 2025 outlook, speculative forecasts extend beyond this figure. Analysts like Ted Pillows have drawn parallels between Bitcoin’s accumulation phase and gold’s market cycle, suggesting the potential for a surge above $160,000 by year-end 2025 [7]. However, such projections are distinct from the $130,000 target and should not be conflated with the immediate scenario.

The trajectory of Bitcoin’s price remains contingent on its ability to navigate the $110,000–$112,000 support zone. Maintaining this level would solidify the foundation for further gains, while a failure to hold could disrupt the bullish narrative. Investors are advised to monitor key resistance and support levels, institutional activity, and broader macroeconomic signals to assess evolving risks.

Sources:

[1] [Bitcoin Could Hit $130K If It Maintains $110K Support Per...](https://www.ainvest.com/news/bitcoin-news-today-bitcoin-hit-130k-maintains-110k-support-mvrv-model-2507/)

[2] [Bitcoin MVRV Pricing Bands Hint At $130K, But Only If This...](https://www.tradingview.com/news/newsbtc:8bbf7cb1e094b:0-bitcoin-mvrv-pricing-bands-hint-at-130k-but-only-if-this-support-holds/)

[3] [Bitcoin’s $119.5K Resistance and the Falling Wedge Breakout...](https://coincentral.com/michael-saylor-signals-strategys-next-big-bitcoin-accumulation-move/)

[4] [Bitcoin’s Path to $130K: Risks and Opportunities](https://finbold.com/analyst-predicts-bitcoin-price-for-q4/)

[5] [Institutional Demand and Bitcoin’s Supply Dynamics](https://www.interactivecrypto.com/googles-ai-shockwave-could-bitcoin-hit-150k-or-crash-t)

[6] [Technical Indicators Signal Bitcoin’s Momentum](https://coincentral.com/michael-saylor-signals-strategys-next-big-bitcoin-accumulation-move/)

[7] [Bitcoin and Gold: A Parallel Accumulation Phase?](https://finbold.com/analyst-predicts-bitcoin-price-for-q4/)