Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's $110K Battleground: Macro and Geopolitical Pressures Intensify

Bitcoin's price has faced significant volatility following a sharp selloff that tested critical support levels, raising questions about its potential trajectory if the $110,000 threshold fails. After a 20% crash to $102,000 in late October 2025, Bitcoin rebounded above $112,000 but remains under pressure from macroeconomic headwinds and geopolitical tensions, according to FXStreet. Analysts and technical indicators, CoinDesk reports, suggest that a breakdown below $110,000 could trigger a deeper correction toward $100,000 or lower, with further risks if key support levels are breached.

The recent selloff was exacerbated by U.S.-China trade tensions, which saw the U.S. impose 100% tariffs on Chinese goods, triggering a $19 billion liquidation event in crypto markets, Coinedition reported. This flash crash pushed Bitcoin below $102,000 before stabilizing near $110,000, with on-chain data indicating that whales and long-term holders accumulated during the dip, Coinedition noted. However, the repeated failure to maintain gains above a critical trendline from 2017 and 2021 highs has highlighted persistent resistance, suggesting that the $110,000 level is a pivotal battleground, CoinDesk noted.

Technical analysis underscores bearish momentum. The monthly and daily charts show weakening bullish strength, with long wicks on July, August, and October candles signaling bear fatigue above the trendline. The MACD histogram, while still positive, has weakened compared to earlier rally phases, indicating a loss of upward momentum, CoinDesk observed. Additionally, Bitcoin's price broke below the 20-day and 50-day exponential moving averages (EMAs), with the 200-day EMA at $107,800 acting as a potential defense zone, Coinedition reported. If BTC fails to reclaim $113,500–$115,000, the path toward $103,000 becomes more likely, Coinedition warned.

Macro factors further complicate Bitcoin's outlook. Persistent U.S. inflation, rising gold prices, and regulatory uncertainty have shifted investor focus away from Bitcoin's upside. The U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index rose 2.7% year-on-year in August 2025, reinforcing Federal Reserve caution about rate cuts, Cointelegraph reported. Meanwhile, regulatory scrutiny of cryptocurrency treasury companies and delays in the U.S. Strategic Bitcoin Reserve plan have added downward pressure, Cointelegraph added.

Despite these challenges, on-chain metrics suggest accumulation. Coinglass data revealed $403.7 million in net outflows on October 11, 2025, indicating that investors are pulling Bitcoin off exchanges—a sign often linked to long-term storage, Coinedition reported. However, short-term traders faced widespread liquidations, and the RSI has fallen to the mid-40s, signaling a loss of momentum but not yet oversold conditions, Coinedition noted.

Analysts remain divided on Bitcoin's near-term trajectory. Karim AbdelMawla of 21Shares notes the crypto bull market could last another six to twelve months, while others warn of a potential test of the $100,000 level if macroeconomic and geopolitical risks persist, FXStreet observed. The key inflection point lies in whether buyers can stabilize price above $111,000 and re-establish strength near $115,000. A breakdown below $111,000 could expose the $107,800 and $103,000 levels, Coinedition cautioned.

In summary, Bitcoin's price remains at a critical juncture. A failure to hold $110,000 could trigger a deeper correction, with technical and macroeconomic indicators pointing to a bearish bias in the near term. However, sustained on-chain accumulation and ETF inflows provide a potential floor, suggesting that the long-term uptrend may persist if macro conditions stabilize, according to coverage from FXStreet, CoinDesk and Coinedition.