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Bitcoin is drawing attention as analysts highlight the potential impact of a short-term price test near the $105,000 level on leveraged futures traders [1]. On-chain data shows a significant cost cluster at this price range, including a UTxO wall, the average cost of 1–3 month-old holdings, and the realized price of short-term holders, all converging at this level [1]. According to CryptoQuant analyst CryptoMe, this does not signal a bearish trend but rather a potential structural point that could be tested in the near term [1].
The $105,000 to $115,000 range is considered a key consolidation area [1]. If Bitcoin remains within this range, it may reinforce the possibility of a future upward move toward a two-year trendline, which has historically acted as a significant barrier [1]. However, any short-term dip toward $105,000 could expose leveraged traders to heightened risks due to the amplifying nature of their positions [1].
Leveraged futures traders, who often use borrowed capital to amplify returns, are particularly vulnerable to sudden price swings and market corrections [1]. A pullback to $105,000 could trigger stop-loss orders or forced liquidations, especially if the price breaks below the level. This could lead to a self-reinforcing downward spiral as increased selling pressure further depresses prices [1].
Analysts have emphasized that such a price test could serve as a barometer for broader market sentiment [1]. If traders have built positions in anticipation of a breakout, a sharp movement near $105,000 could indicate a shift in sentiment or a correction of overbought conditions [1]. This moment is seen as critical for determining whether the current bullish momentum is sustainable or if the market is showing signs of overextension [1].
For traders using leverage, the volatility near this level could result in increased margin calls and liquidation risks [1]. Positions taken under the assumption of continued upward momentum may face unexpected losses if the price stalls or reverses [1]. As such, analysts recommend that investors reduce position risks and manage exposure to volatility accordingly [1].
The behavior of Bitcoin near the $105,000 range is not only a technical milestone but also a psychological one [1]. A successful test and hold could reinforce confidence among bullish participants, while a breakdown might lead to a reassessment of risk tolerance and position sizing [1]. Given the leverage involved in futures trading, this price level could act as a catalyst for increased volatility and strategic recalibrations in the short term [1].
Source: [1] [Gold vs. Bitcoin: BTC and XAUUSD Consolidation Sets ...](https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/gold-vs-bitcoin-btc-and-xauusd-consolidation-sets-stage-for-next-rally-1539146)
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