Bitcoin News Today: Bitcoin's $100K Crossroads: Bears vs. Bulls in $250K Showdown

Bitcoin Price Volatility Intensifies as Analysts Debate $100K Support and $250K Potential

Bitcoin (BTC) hovered near $108,200 on October 22, 2025, as traders closely watched for a potential golden cross on the 3-day chart-a technical signal historically linked to significant price surges. The cryptocurrency has been consolidating within a $107,000–$114,000 range after hitting an all-time high of $125,761 earlier in October, according to a crypto.news analysis. Analysts are divided on whether this consolidation marks a temporary pause or the start of a deeper correction.

Technical traders highlighted the 50-day and 200-day moving averages converging near $108,200, with a confirmed golden cross potentially unlocking a path toward $125,000–$130,000, the crypto.news piece noted. Meanwhile, the Crypto Fear and Greed Index plummeted to 25, signaling extreme market fear, according to a Timestabloid report. Institutional demand, however, remains robust, with spot Bitcoin ETFs from BlackRock and Fidelity reporting consistent inflows, the Timestabloid report added.

Galaxy Digital CEO Mike Novogratz emphasized the $100,000 level as critical support, warning that a break below this threshold could trigger a descent to $100,000–$105,000, as reported by crypto.news. Conversely, a breakout above $115,000 might reignite bullish momentum, particularly if macroeconomic catalysts align, Novogratz told Yahoo Finance.

While some experts remain cautiously optimistic, others project more aggressive targets. Novogratz argued that a $250,000 price tag by year-end would require "a heck of a lot of crazy stuff," given only 10 weeks remain in 2025, in a TradingView piece. He identified two key catalysts for a breakout: regulatory clarity via the CLARITY Act or Donald Trump's potential intervention at the Federal Reserve, as he also told Yahoo Finance.

In contrast, bullish analysts like Fundstrat's Tom Lee and BitMEX's Arthur Hayes maintain their $250,000 forecasts, citing the halving cycle, institutional adoption, and global liquidity trends, as noted in the TradingView piece. VanEck's Geoffrey Kendrick echoed this sentiment, suggesting a $200,000 target by year-end and advising investors to "buy the dip" below $100,000, according to a Bitcoin Magazine report.

Upcoming economic events, including the October 24 CPI report and the Federal Reserve's October 29 FOMC meeting, could introduce short-term volatility, analysts wrote in a Coinotag analysis. Analysts at IncomeSharks noted that Bitcoin's price structure within an ascending channel since late 2023 suggests a temporary correction to $100,000 before a resumption of its long-term uptrend toward $150,000 by mid-2026, the Coinotag analysis added.

Bitcoin's recent 18% October correction has been framed as a "liquidity-driven mid-cycle reset" rather than a bear market, with VanEck highlighting normalized leverage levels and growing institutional participation in regulated markets, the Bitcoin Magazine report noted. On-chain metrics also show maturation, with daily active addresses rising to 722,000 and transfer volume hitting $86 billion month-over-month, the report added.

While the focus remains on Bitcoin, other major cryptocurrencies like Ethereum (ETH), BNB, and Solana (SOL) are also under scrutiny. Analysts suggest that if Bitcoin stabilizes above $100,000, altcoins could follow suit, with projects like MAGACOIN FINANCE attracting attention for their presale traction and institutional-grade security audits, the Timestabloid report observed.

The coming weeks will be pivotal for Bitcoin's trajectory. A confirmed golden cross, regulatory developments, or geopolitical shifts could tip the scales between consolidation and a sustained rally. As Novogratz noted, "Bitcoin is still a 50-vol asset," underscoring the inherent volatility in a market where "big moves" are par for the course, the TradingView piece concluded. Investors remain split between caution and optimism, with $100,000 serving as both a psychological benchmark and a litmus test for the crypto winter's severity.