Bitcoin News Today: Arthur Hayes Forecasts Bitcoin to Hit $250K by 2025 on Institutional Demand and Macroeconomic Trends

Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, has once again drawn attention with a bold forecast suggesting Bitcoin could reach $250,000 by 2025 [1]. His rationale centers around institutional demand and broader macroeconomic trends, particularly global fiscal expansion and the increasing liquidity of fiat markets [1]. Hayes argues that Bitcoin represents a pure bet on monetary policies that are likely to continue expanding in response to fiscal deficits, especially in the United States [1].

The prediction builds on the idea that institutional investors are increasingly allocating to crypto assets, a trend reflected in the movement of capital into the sector and a decline in the NVT ratio, which has fallen by over 32% to 29.2 [4]. This drop is interpreted as a sign that Bitcoin’s valuation is becoming more tied to actual usage and less to speculative trading. Additionally, OTC balances for Bitcoin miners have reached a multi-year low of 147.5K BTC, suggesting reduced selling pressure and potentially supporting further price gains [4].

Hayes’ forecast aligns with similar bullish views from other market participants, including Tom Lee of Fundstrat, who has also predicted a $250,000 target for the end of 2025 [3]. According to Lee, this expectation is grounded in the accumulation patterns and growing adoption of institutional investors [3].

The market has responded with heightened interest in Bitcoin and Ethereum, as seen in the rising inflows into crypto ETFs and the broader institutional risk appetite [1]. While the short-term price trajectory is more subdued—with 30-day price models projecting only modest gains—longer-term models suggest Bitcoin could reach $146,000 by 2030, with 2025 potentially serving as a consolidation period [4].

However, not all analysts share the same optimism. Markus Thielen from 10x Research has lowered his forecast to $160,000 due to macroeconomic uncertainties [4]. Nonetheless, Hayes remains confident, noting that the price will ultimately be determined by how the market handles its current trading range.

Bitcoin has maintained a price above $100,000 for over 80 days, with key support and resistance levels at $109,000 and $120,000, respectively [4]. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has moved to a neutral position at 54, indicating a cautious yet not overly bullish sentiment among traders [4].

Hayes’ prediction underscores the evolving role of Bitcoin as a macroeconomic asset, influenced by the same forces that shape traditional markets. With institutional interest continuing to grow and regulatory frameworks gradually adapting, the stage is set for further appreciation, though the path to $250,000 is expected to be volatile and subject to broader economic developments [1].

Source:

[1] title1: Arthur Hayes Predicts Bitcoin at $250K — And He's Not

url1: https://medium.com/@Tradingpass/arthur-hayes-predicts-bitcoin-at-250k-and-hes-not-guessing-4934e5e260c7

[2] title2: Why Crypto Is Going Up? Bitcoin, Ethereum, XRP and ...

url2: https://www.financemagnates.com/trending/why-crypto-is-going-up-bitcoin-ethereum-xrp-and-dogecoin-prices-today-lead-broad-rally/

[3] title3: Bitcoin Could Still Hit $250K This Year, Says Fundstrat's ...

url3: https://cryptomus.com/blog/bitcoin-could-still-hit-250k-this-year-says-fundstrats-tom-lee-news?srsltid=AfmBOoraApzEq4I9kXpWNP-fQHZyET_t0J_IIt-W2bGXAkvTs8dnRSHB

[4] title4: [Live] Bitcoin Price Prediction: Will BTC Hit $200K in 2025?

url4: https://icobench.com/news/bitcoin-price-prediction-will-btc-break-out-or-stall-at-115k/