Bitcoin News Today: Analysts eye mid-2025 for potential alt season amid shifting Bitcoin dominance

The concept of “alt season” refers to periods when alternative cryptocurrencies outperform Bitcoin, typically indicated by a decline in Bitcoin’s dominance and a surge in the total value of altcoins. Analysts are closely tracking a range of on-chain, technical, and macroeconomic indicators to anticipate the next potential alt season, though timing remains uncertain and speculative [1].

Historically, alt season has followed Bitcoin’s major price rallies, but pinpointing the exact onset is challenging. Experts analyze factors such as Bitcoin dominance (BTC.D), the ETH/BTC price ratio, and the Altcoin Season Index to gauge market sentiment and capital movement. For example, a drop in Bitcoin dominance below 60 percent, a breakout in the ETH/BTC ratio, and an Altcoin Season Index rising above 50 are often associated with alt season transitions [1].

Despite these signals, no single indicator provides a definitive timeline. Combinations of metrics—such as a sustained altcoin market cap above $1 trillion and a Fear & Greed Index moving from “fear” to “neutral”—are typically observed together to better interpret market dynamics [1].

Analysts have proposed three potential timing scenarios for the next alt season. One suggests a gradual rotation beginning in mid-2025 as Bitcoin dominance dips and select large-cap altcoins rally. A second scenario anticipates a more pronounced shift between September and October 2025, influenced by technical breakouts and the post-halving environment. A third scenario envisions a delayed onset, with macroeconomic headwinds such as prolonged quantitative tightening pushing alt season into late 2025 or early 2026 [1].

The aftermath of the April 2025 Bitcoin halving could be a catalyst for rotation, as historically, reduced supply inflation has supported altcoin gains. However, experts caution that without a shift in global monetary policy, broader momentum may be limited [1].

Market conditions remain dynamic, with macro liquidity, institutional flows, and retail engagement playing key roles. Central bank actions, the adoption of Bitcoin spot ETFs, and evolving retail sentiment all influence the potential for altcoin rallies [1]. A lack of widespread retail enthusiasm, compared to prior cycles, could mean alt season takes the form of a selective relief rally rather than a full-scale bull run [1].

For investors, a balanced approach is recommended. Staggered entries, trigger-based adjustments, and a focus on high-quality projects with strong fundamentals can help manage risk while positioning for potential upside. Risk management tools such as stop-loss levels and profit-taking strategies are also essential, especially in volatile market environments [1].

Experts encourage continued research and vigilance in interpreting market developments. Key areas for further investigation include regulatory changes, DeFi and NFT adoption, and advancements in Ethereum-based layer-2 scaling solutions [1].

Ultimately, predicting the arrival of alt season involves navigating a complex web of interrelated signals under constantly shifting conditions. While many anticipate early signs in mid-2025 and a stronger rally in autumn, differing views on macroeconomic conditions and institutional flows mean timing remains speculative [1].

Source: [1] When Will Alt Season Come? What the Experts Are Saying (https://www.livebitcoinnews.com/when-will-alt-season-come-what-the-experts-are-saying/)