Bitcoin News Today: Altcoin Season Index Stalls at 41 Amid Fed QT as Bitcoin Dominance Hits 61.17%

Generated by AI AgentCoin World
Monday, Aug 4, 2025 7:46 am ET1min read
Aime RobotAime Summary

- Altcoins remain weak amid Fed QT, with Bitcoin dominance at 61.17% as CMC Altcoin Season Index stalls at 41.

- RSI divergence on OTHERS/BTC chart hints at potential reversal, but macroeconomic pressure from QT persists.

- Altcoin gains (e.g., MYX +101%) stem from listings/protocol upgrades, not broad demand, while futures open interest drops 17.6%.

- Institutional Bitcoin accumulation (e.g., Metaplanet’s $53M purchase) reinforces BTC dominance amid expectations of September rate cuts ending QT.

Altcoins remain subdued amid continued U.S. Federal Reserve Quantitative Tightening (QT), with the CMC Altcoin Season Index stalling at 41, reinforcing a "Bitcoin Season" dynamic as Bitcoin’s dominance holds at 61.17% [1]. The broader altcoin market has shown structural weakness, with the OTHERS/BTC chart trending lower into August 2025, marked by repeated declines after local peaks [1]. Weekly data reveals consistent pullbacks, pushing the altcoin-to-Bitcoin ratio further downward across months. However, recent divergence in the RSI on the OTHERS/BTC chart suggests the potential for a reversal as momentum builds despite ongoing price declines [1].

Observations from Ted Pillows highlight prior reversal patterns where RSI reached oversold levels around 30 before rebounds occurred [1]. The latest price low hit 0.11 before a minor recovery to 0.12, while the RSI hit a higher low at 43.28, indicating a divergence in price and momentum trends [1]. A visual comparison of price and RSI arrows further confirms the opposing trajectories—price levels declining while RSI trends upward [1].

The broader macroeconomic environment has also been a key factor in altcoin weakness, as QT policies have pressured risk assets including cryptocurrencies [1]. However, expectations are shifting toward a potential September rate cut, which could signal the end of QT measures and create favorable conditions for altcoins to regain momentum [1]. In previous cycles, altcoins rebounded when RSI diverged and monetary policy eased, and current conditions closely mirror those setups [1].

Despite some individual altcoins, such as MYX and SPK, posting gains of 101% and 31.7% respectively, these rallies were driven by exchange listings and protocol upgrades rather than broad-based market demand [1]. Meanwhile, perpetual futures open interest fell 17.6% in the past 24 hours, and altcoin funding rates turned negative at -0.0024%, reflecting cautious sentiment among leveraged traders [1]. Bitcoin, in contrast, saw $32 million in liquidations, mostly short positions, underscoring its relative strength in the current market environment [1].

Large institutional players continue to accumulate Bitcoin, with Metaplanet recently acquiring 463 BTC valued at $53 million, following Trump Media’s reported $2 billion in Bitcoin holdings [1]. These developments further reinforce Bitcoin’s dominant position and suggest that altcoins may struggle to reclaim market share unless broader macroeconomic conditions shift in their favor [1].

Source: [1] Altcoins Face Fed QT Pressure as Index Stalls at 41 Against Bitcoin: Will Altcoins Reclaim Market Share in September? (https://cryptonewsland.com/altcoins-face-fed-qt-pressure-as-index-stalls-a/)

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