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The Altcoin Season Index (ASI), a metric tracking the performance of top cryptocurrencies against
, has plummeted to 41 as of July 24, marking a 12-point decline from the previous day [1]. This drop underscores a shift in market dynamics, with Bitcoin consolidating dominance over altcoins. The ASI, calculated by CoinMarketCap, compares the 90-day performance of the top 100 cryptocurrencies (excluding stablecoins and wrapped tokens) to Bitcoin. A score of 41 places the market firmly in “Bitcoin Season,” where 25% or fewer altcoins outperform Bitcoin [1]. This trend reflects broader capital inflows into Bitcoin amid macroeconomic uncertainty, institutional adoption, and liquidity concentration.Bitcoin’s recent strength is driven by several factors. First, global macroeconomic risks—such as inflation concerns, interest rate hikes, and geopolitical tensions—have prompted investors to favor Bitcoin as a “safe haven” within crypto. This flight to quality typically diverts funds from riskier altcoins to Bitcoin [1]. Second, the approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs has attracted institutional capital, further amplifying Bitcoin’s market capitalization relative to altcoins. Third, the upcoming Bitcoin halving event, historically tied to price rallies, has spurred speculative positioning in Bitcoin, overshadowing altcoin activity. Lastly, during periods of low market liquidity, Bitcoin’s superior trading depth and order-book liquidity make it a more attractive asset, exacerbating its outperformance [1].
For investors, the current Bitcoin Season necessitates strategic adjustments. Prioritizing Bitcoin exposure—through dollar-cost averaging or increasing allocations—aligns with the prevailing market structure. Meanwhile, altcoin portfolios should be re-evaluated, focusing on projects with robust fundamentals, active development, and liquidity. Staking and yield-generating opportunities in select altcoins may also provide passive income during this phase. However, impulsive selling of altcoins is discouraged; instead, a long-term perspective is critical, as Bitcoin Seasons are cyclical and do not last indefinitely [1].
The ASI’s trajectory suggests Bitcoin’s dominance may persist until catalysts trigger a return to Altcoin Season. Potential triggers include Bitcoin price consolidation, which could redirect capital to altcoins, or significant developments in altcoin ecosystems (e.g.,
upgrades or new project launches). Improved global economic sentiment and rising retail participation might also rekindle altcoin demand [1]. Investors are advised to monitor these factors while maintaining disciplined risk management.The current ASI reading of 41 highlights Bitcoin’s entrenched leadership, offering insights into market sentiment and capital flows. By understanding the interplay between macroeconomic forces, institutional activity, and crypto-specific cycles, investors can adapt their strategies to navigate both Bitcoin Seasons and potential altcoin rallies.
Source: [1] [Altcoin Season Index Plunges: Decoding Bitcoin’s Dominant Reign] [https://coinmarketcap.com/community/articles/6881833367762e3f827922d4/]
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