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The cryptocurrency market is showing early signs of a shift in momentum, with
dominance declining to 58.8% in November 2025—a significant drop from its 61.4% mark earlier in the year. Meanwhile, the Altcoin Season Index in over a month, hitting 47 as of late November. Analysts suggest this divergence could signal a gradual rotation of capital from Bitcoin to alternative cryptocurrencies, though most caution that a full-fledged altcoin rally akin to 2021 remains unlikely without broader macroeconomic stability.The waning influence of Bitcoin, which has fallen below $90,000, contrasts with the relative resilience of altcoins. Some analysts
, with altcoins maintaining value despite Bitcoin's 24% decline in November. "Altcoins are showing strength where Bitcoin is struggling, but this doesn't necessarily mean a new bull market for alternatives," said one industry watcher. "It could reflect market stress rather than a true altcoin season."
Structural risks in the crypto market are also intensifying.
a hidden wave of selling pressure from overleveraged treasury firms, which have amplified Bitcoin's volatility. This dynamic mirrors historical patterns, such as the 2008 mortgage crisis, where leveraged positions forced cascading liquidations. -spiking to 0.8 during stressed market conditions-has further undermined its "digital gold" narrative.Despite these challenges, some see opportunities. The Altcoin Season Index's rise suggests investors are beginning to explore riskier assets, though most emphasize the need for patience. "
is a bearish signal, but it could also create buying opportunities for those with a long-term horizon," noted analyst Gert van Lagen.For now, the market remains in a delicate balancing act. While altcoins hold their ground, Bitcoin's struggles and broader structural headwinds mean a repeat of 2021's euphoria is unlikely. Analysts advise investors to monitor Bitcoin's potential short-term bottom and the resolution of forced selling cycles before expecting a sustained altcoin rally.
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