Bitcoin News Today: AI Models Predict 0.7% BTC Price Rise to $119,833 by August 2025 as Trump-EU Trade Agreement Influences Projections

A machine learning-driven analysis from Finbold has generated a consensus-based forecast for Bitcoin (BTC) on August 1, 2025, leveraging three advanced AI models and technical indicators. The study, conducted as BTC navigates post-volatility recovery and pre-emptive regulatory developments in the U.S., predicts an average price of $119,833—a 0.7% increase from its current level of $119,003. This projection synthesizes predictions from GPT-4o, Claude 3.5 Sonnet, and Grok 2 Vision, which range from $117,500 (a 1.26% decline) to $121,500 (a 2.1% rise) [1]. The discrepancies among the models underscore divergent algorithmic interpretations of market signals amid shifting investor sentiment and macroeconomic variables.

Technical indicators further contextualize the forecast. The RSI for BTC has declined from 75 to 62 over two weeks, signaling waning bullish momentum [1]. Similarly, the MACD line has dropped from a peak of 3,244 to 2,572, while the MACD histogram turned negative, shrinking from +1,175 to -325 in the same period. These trends suggest a potential deceleration in upward price action despite BTC maintaining a position above its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $111,234. Grok 2 Vision’s bearish stance aligns with these technical signals, which highlight cooling momentum and a risk of consolidation. Conversely, the 1.26% optimism from GPT-4o and 2.1% optimism from Claude 3.5 Sonnet reflect alternative algorithmic weighings of macroeconomic factors, such as the Trump-EU trade agreement reducing global uncertainty and altering demand dynamics for safe-haven assets.

The predictive models’ inputs include macroeconomic events, including the impending U.S. crypto policy reports and geopolitical shifts. Trump’s EU trade framework, which slashes tariffs on European imports, could indirectly influence BTC by reducing political uncertainty and altering capital allocation patterns. However, the immediate-term volatility risk remains elevated due to the convergence of regulatory updates and algorithmic trading behaviors. Finbold’s analysis does not incorporate external geopolitical or regional data, such as China-related factors, which may independently impact BTC’s trajectory.

The August 1, 2025, price forecast remains a probabilistic projection, not a certainty. While the average of $119,833 implies a mild upward bias, the technical indicators and Grok 2 Vision’s bearish model emphasize caution. Investors should monitor the interplay between macroeconomic developments, such as the U.S. regulatory clarity, and technical divergences like RSI and MACD readings. The market’s response to the July 30 policy reports could further recalibrate algorithmic predictions, adding layers of complexity to short-term BTC dynamics.

Source: [1] [Machine learning algorithm predicts Bitcoin price on August 1, 2025] [https://finbold.com/machine-learning-algorithm-predicts-bitcoin-price-on-august-1-2025/]