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Bitcoin Nears $100K as Long-Term Holders Approach 350% Profitability

Coin WorldSaturday, May 3, 2025 2:16 pm ET
1min read

Bitcoin is approaching a critical psychological barrier as long-term holders near peak profitability, hinting at possible market shifts. This scenario unfolds as Bitcoin (BTC) exhibits sustained bullish momentum, climbing towards a formidable $100K target. As BTC nears this pivotal zone, we may witness intensified selling pressure from seasoned investors.

Bitcoin’s price trajectory continues to respect its ascending channel based on the 4-hour chart, reflecting ongoing upward momentum. As BTC recently reclaimed the $96.3K support level, market participants are watching closely for any shifts. With the $98K mark emerging as a key resistance level, traders face potential challenges. However, this pattern also indicates a capacity for rebounds and higher highs, suggesting a possible breakout toward the $100K milestone. Thus, the short-term structure remains favorable for buyers, contingent on BTC maintaining its support and aligning with the projected upward trajectory.

Recent metrics reveal a significant shift in market participation dynamics. Retail activity has dipped slightly, contrasting with an increase in investor holdings, indicating a trend towards accumulation among medium-term holders. The Whale Concentration has remained steady, suggesting a phase of consolidation in the market. This redistribution of BTC from smaller holders to more steadfast investors could fortify long-term price stability.

The derivatives market for BTC has displayed signs of cooling, revealing a trend of cautious positioning among leveraged participants. Futures Volume has decreased, while Options Volume has seen a reduction, alongside a drop in Open Interest. Furthermore, a decline in Options Open Interest highlights dwindling expectations for aggressive movements. This cooling indicates traders are waiting for clearer breakout signals above $98K before reallocating capital, which may suppress short-term volatility.

Several key indicators signal a favorable environment for Bitcoin’s market activity. Large Transactions, Address Concentration, and In-The-Money Wallets suggest underlying strength among market participants. Additionally, exchange metrics such as Bid-Ask Volume Imbalance and Smart Price Signals collectively provide a bullish outlook. Even though Net Network Growth remains stable, the comprehensive data suggests a lean towards buyer dominance.

As long-term holders near a profitability threshold of 350%, potential distribution may loom. However, positive technical setups, consistent accumulation by investors, and supportive overall metrics lean towards bullish continuity. If Bitcoin maintains the current support level at $96.3K and successfully reclaims the $98K resistance, the price may steadily progress toward the coveted $100K mark. The market’s structure favors a gradual bullish ascent, akin to the upward trajectory illustrated in the preceding charts.

Ask Aime: Could Bitcoin's bullish momentum reach $100K?

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Swing_Fickle
05/03
"Bullish but with a side of caution, eh? Bitcoin’s got that ‘bulls on parade’ vibe, but let’s not forget, the bears are just waiting in the wings. Long-term holders might be hitting their profit targets, but they’re probably thinking, ‘Why mess with a good thing?’ Meanwhile, the derivatives market’s cooling off like a hot tub in January—everyone’s just waiting for the right moment to jump back in. Investors are shifting from retail to whales, like a game of musical chairs where the chairs are getting fewer but the players are getting bigger. Bulls, you’ve got the spotlight, but don’t get too comfy—this show’s got a lot of acts left.
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Turbonik1
05/03
Wow!The BTC stock was in an easy trading mode with Pro tools, and I made $131 from it!
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DrMoveit
05/03
@Turbonik1 How long were you holding BTC before selling? Curious about your strategy.
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