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Bitcoin Nears $100K, Dogecoin Rises, Ethereum Falls: CPI Data Sparks Rate Cut Hopes; Analyst Predicts 180% BTC Surge

Eli GrantWednesday, Nov 13, 2024 10:20 pm ET
5min read
Bitcoin's (BTC) price is nearing the $100,000 mark, while Dogecoin (DOGE) has surged, and Ethereum (ETH) has fallen, as Consumer Price Index (CPI) data sparks hopes for a rate cut. Analysts predict an 180% surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by factors like the upcoming Bitcoin halving and increased institutional demand.

Bitcoin's price rally
Bitcoin's price has been on a tear, nearing the $100,000 mark, driven by a mix of technical and fundamental indicators. The cryptocurrency's recent rally comes amid an increase in BTC holdings among its richest investors, also known as "whales." The number of addresses holding more than 100,000 BTC has risen 0.7% since the year's beginning, signaling strong accumulation.

Dogecoin's price surge
Dogecoin's price has experienced a significant surge of approximately 70% this week, fueled by a bullish trend across the cryptocurrency market. This momentum hints at further potential for gains in March, owing to a mix of technical and fundamental indicators. Dogecoin whales accumulate Dogecoin's recent price surge comes amid an increase in DOGE holdings among its richest investors, also known as "whales." For instance, the number of addresses holding more than 100,000 DOGE tokens has risen 0.7% since the year's beginning. At the same time, the number of entities with a balance of over 1 million DOGE has witnessed a slight dip after Feb. 12. Given the substantial holdings, these addresses likely represent exchanges, suggesting traders have been beginning to prefer to retain DOGE rather than engage in active trading. This behavior signals strong accumulation.

Memecoin mania ahead of Bitcoin halving
Dogecoin's price boom appears ahead of the fourth Bitcoin halving scheduled for April 19, 2024. Interestingly, this price rally is akin to similar upside moves before previous Bitcoin halving events in May 2020 and July 2016. Notably, DOGE price surged 200% ahead of the first Bitcoin halving, and by approximately 50% ahead of the second, as shown below. DOGE/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView Generally, traders tend to seek alternative investments like memecoins for higher short-term gains, anticipating that the halving will boost the overall market. This behavior is driven by speculation and the desire to capitalize on the increased market activity associated with Bitcoin's supply shock. Like Dogecoin, other top memecoins, including Shiba Inu (SHIB), Pepe (PEPE), and Bonk (BONK), have seen substantial gains in the days leading up to the Bitcoin halving.

Ethereum's price fall
Ethereum's price has fallen amid the broader rally in cryptocurrencies, with the memecoin mania stealing the spotlight. ETH has witnessed a 15% decline in the last 24 hours, as investors shift their focus towards alternative investments like Dogecoin. However, Ethereum's long-term prospects remain strong, with the upcoming Shanghai upgrade and the transition to proof-of-stake (PoS) expected to drive further growth.

CPI data sparks rate cut hopes
The recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data has sparked hopes for a rate cut, as inflation continues to cool. The CPI data showed a 0.1% increase in February, below expectations, and a 6% increase over the past year. This cooling inflation has led investors to anticipate a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, potentially leading to a rate cut in the coming months.

Analyst predicts 180% BTC surge
An analyst from Laevitas.ch predicts an 180% surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by factors like the upcoming Bitcoin halving and increased institutional demand. The analyst notes that the Bitcoin futures premium, a key indicator of institutional optimism, has surged to 13%, indicating significant demand from whales and arbitrage desks. Additionally, the Bitcoin 1-month options skew has remained neutral despite a 16% rally in less than three days, suggesting a healthy market.



In conclusion, Bitcoin's price is nearing the $100,000 mark, while Dogecoin has surged, and Ethereum has fallen, as CPI data sparks hopes for a rate cut. Analysts predict an 180% surge in Bitcoin's price, driven by factors like the upcoming Bitcoin halving and increased institutional demand. As the cryptocurrency market continues to evolve, investors should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies to capitalize on emerging opportunities.
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