Bitcoin Holds Above $75.8K, Poised for 200% Growth by June 2025

Bitcoin is currently trading near the lower end of its historical seasonal range, with bulls defending the crucial weekly MA50 at $75.8K. The SOPR trend indicates a prolonged period of consolidation, suggesting that Bitcoin may be in a phase of stabilization before its next significant price movement.

Historical data analysis since 2015 shows that Bitcoin achieves its most affordable price period during January and February, with the shortest growth range between 0.80 and 1.00. This period correlates with the current market position, indicating that Bitcoin may be preparing for its next upward trend. The greatest annual price changes for Bitcoin occur between April and October, with these months driving all changes in market value.

Starting from April, the growth pattern continues to stabilize until October, where it resumes its regular upward expansion from 1.40 to increase the price to 1.60. Current data suggests that Bitcoin could surpass its previous all-time high by June 2025, with projected growth reaching 2.00 or higher. Anticipated price levels are between 2.20 and 2.60 from late 2024 to early 2025, relying on historical trends where April’s seasonal uptick and October’s momentum often fuel significant gains.

Beyond June, Bitcoin’s price may remain below 1.20 unless April sees its usual upward trend, the dollar’s weakness stabilizes, or investor interest increases. The new anticipated all-time high for Bitcoin can be backed by the fact that BTC bulls are protecting the essential 50 weekly Moving Average (MA50) by holding out at $75.8K. Currently, the price is hovering around $83.1K, just above the MA50.

The first support level has historically served as a rebound zone. For instance, Bitcoin rose from $67K in July 2024 to $83K in December, demonstrating sustained positive market movement. Further analysis of the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) trend signal suggests Bitcoin could maintain extended stability. A decrease in SOPR from 1.07 to 1.00 during January 2025 indicates that buyers have halted profit-taking.

Historically, when SOPR reached approximately 1.00—such as in mid-2023—the market often experienced price increases. This pattern suggests Bitcoin could potentially reach a new all-time high by June. Additionally, analyst Avocado reported that Funding Rates on Binance held a negative position of -0.02 as of March 2025 as BTC traded around $83.6K. In June 2024, a negative Funding Rate of -0.02 triggered a price increase, pushing Bitcoin from $50K to $70K. A similar Funding Rate movement could potentially drive BTC’s price above $100K.

However, if a prolonged negative Funding Rate coincides with a failure of the MA50 support, BTC’s price could drop to $70K. This scenario could also delay the achievement of a new all-time high. Overall, the data suggests a bullish outlook for Bitcoin, with the potential for significant price increases in the coming months. The market's stabilization and historical trends indicate that Bitcoin may be poised for a comeback, with the possibility of reaching new all-time highs by June 2025.