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Bitcoin Holds Above $100,000 as Ethereum Surges to Its Best Week Since 2021

Samuel ReedFriday, May 9, 2025 1:23 pm ET
2min read

The cryptocurrency market is bracing for a pivotal shift as Bitcoin (BTC) consolidates above $100,000 and Ethereum (ETH) rockets to its strongest weekly performance in over four years. This dual surge, fueled by institutional inflows, technical breakouts, and macroeconomic tailwinds, has reignited speculation about a broader market rally.

Bitcoin’s Resilience Amid Volatility

Bitcoin’s price has remained stubbornly above $100,000 since mid-May, with its futures market (BTC=F) closing at $102,945 on May 9—the highest point since late 2022. Despite daily swings, the asset has formed a bullish technical base, with its 50-day and 200-day moving averages rising across short- and long-term charts.

Predictive models suggest Bitcoin could climb as high as $132,545 by mid-May, driven by improved risk appetite and macroeconomic optimism. The U.S. Federal Reserve’s pause on interest rate hikes has bolstered crypto’s appeal as a risk-on asset. However, traders remain cautious: the Fear & Greed Index scored 67 (Greed), signaling complacency ahead of potential corrections.

Ethereum’s Explosive Rally: A Technical Breakout and Institutional Backing

Ethereum’s price surge has been nothing short of spectacular. On May 9, ETH spiked to a $2,368.02 intraday high—a 22.8% daily gain and a 30.34% weekly rise—marking its best weekly performance since early 2021. The jump was accompanied by a 119.36% surge in trading volume, with nearly $42 billion in ETH exchanged in 24 hours.

Technical catalysts played a critical role:
- Breakout above $2,200 resistance, a level that had capped prices since April.
- RSI at 72, indicating overbought conditions but confirming momentum.
- A double-bottom formation on the H1 ETHUSD chart, signaling a bullish reversal.

Institutional demand further fueled the rally. Abraxas Capital withdrew 61,401 ETH ($116.3 million) from exchanges in two days, a clear signal of long-term accumulation. Analysts noted that ETH’s market cap hit $295 billion, outpacing Bitcoin’s dominance briefly.

Market Dynamics and Sentiment

The crypto surge mirrors broader financial markets. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq rose 1.2% and 1.5%, respectively, during the same period, reflecting a risk-on environment. This correlation underscores crypto’s growing integration into mainstream markets.

Yet risks linger:
- Overbought conditions in both BTC and ETH could trigger pullbacks.
- The $2,500 resistance for ETH and Bitcoin’s $132,545 peak (its May prediction high) remain formidable hurdles.
- U.S. macroeconomic data, including inflation reports and Fed policy shifts, could destabilize the rally.

Conclusion: A Bullish Setup, But Caution Remains

Bitcoin’s consolidation above $100,000 and Ethereum’s technical breakouts signal a new phase of market optimism. Institutional inflows, expanding trading volumes, and positive macro trends reinforce this narrative. However, the crypto market’s inherent volatility demands vigilance:

  • ETH faces a critical test at $2,500, where a failure could trigger a retrace to $2,050.
  • Bitcoin’s 36.5% ROI potential by year-end hinges on sustained macro stability and further institutional adoption.

For traders, the near-term focus is on resistance levels and volume signals. While the May surge hints at a sustained rally, history warns against complacency in this high-risk asset class.

In short: the crypto bull is roaring, but investors must tread carefully as markets balance hope and uncertainty.

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Disclaimer: the above is a summary showing certain market information. AInvest is not responsible for any data errors, omissions or other information that may be displayed incorrectly as the data is derived from a third party source. Communications displaying market prices, data and other information available in this post are meant for informational purposes only and are not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any security. Please do your own research when investing. All investments involve risk and the past performance of a security, or financial product does not guarantee future results or returns. Keep in mind that while diversification may help spread risk, it does not assure a profit, or protect against loss in a down market.
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