Bitcoin Gains 4.3% as Lower Inflation Sparks Fed Rate Cut Hopes
Bitcoin (BTC) experienced modest gains following the release of the February Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data, which came in lower than anticipated. The softer inflation reading sparked optimism among investors, who hope that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may pivot to a more dovish monetary policy by cutting interest rates. This potential shift could boost market liquidity and benefit risk-on assets, including cryptocurrencies.
The CPI increased by 0.2% in February on a seasonally adjusted basis, bringing the annual inflation rate down to 2.8%. This figure not only fell below economists’ projection of 2.9% but also marked a decline from January’s 0.5% monthly increase. Additionally, the core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices, rose 0.2% month-over-month, underperforming most forecasts of 0.3%. On an annual basis, core CPI came in at 3.1%, slightly below the 3.2% consensus.
The lower-than-anticipated inflation data has reignited investor optimism, with hopes that the Fed may pivot to a more dovish monetary policy by cutting interest rates to boost market liquidity. Lower interest rates typically favor risk-on assets like stocks and cryptocurrencies. Following the data release, btc posted modest gains, climbing from approximately $81,000 to $84,500. Leading memecoin Dogecoin (DOGE) also saw a 2.9% rise in the past 24 hours.
It’s worth noting that last month, BTC declined after CPI data came in hotter than expected. Since then, economic policies, particularly high trade tariffs on countries, have further hindered bullish momentum for digital assets. Earlier this month, BTC experienced one of its sharpest declines, dropping from around $94,700 on March 2 to as low as $76,800 on March 11. Over the same period, the total crypto market cap shrank by approximately $600 billion, falling from $3.2 trillion to approximately $2.6 trillion at the time of writing.
While the current bearish trend has dragged BTC and other cryptocurrencies to multi-month lows, industry experts believe digital assets are likely to rebound in the later quarters of 2025. For instance, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes recently suggested that while BTC may face further declines in the short term, central banks will likely resort to quantitative easing to stabilize stock markets – a move that could also help risk-on assets recover their losses. Similarly, recent analysis forecasts that despite the current downturn, BTC is poised to reach $180,000 by 2026. A weakening US dollar is also likely to hasten the price recovery. At press time, BTC trades at $81,541, reflecting a 0.6% gain over the past 24 hours.
