Bitcoin Funding Rate Turns Positive Amid Strong Signal Pattern

Coin WorldThursday, Jun 12, 2025 6:51 am ET
1min read

Bitcoin’s funding rate has recently shifted from negative to positive territory, a movement that has been observed multiple times throughout the year. This reversal is significant as it aligns with a recurring signal pattern that has historically preceded strong upward movements in Bitcoin's price. The 72-hour moving average, along with its exponential and weighted counterparts, has bounced back from an oversold zone, visually highlighted in blue. This movement has now aligned with a distinct yellow-blue-black signal pattern, which has been a reliable indicator of strong price rebounds in the past.

The funding rate, which measures the cost of holding leveraged positions in the futures market, remains below the so-called “TOO-BUY” zone. This indicates that sentiment in derivatives markets hasn’t overheated, potentially leaving room for further upside as shorts unwind and traders re-enter long positions. Historically, such conditions have created fertile ground for sharp price rebounds. As seen in the provided chart, each time this signal pattern has emerged within deeply negative funding zones, Bitcoin has posted notable recoveries.

With the latest bounce already underway, the data suggests another sentiment-driven rally could be forming, especially if derivative traders continue to close over-leveraged short positions. If this pattern continues to hold, Bitcoin may be gearing up for another leg higher in the coming days. The current market positioning and the recurring signal pattern support the notion that Bitcoin could be on the verge of another recovery phase. This aligns with the broader market sentiment, which has been favorable for Bitcoin despite recent fluctuations. The overall market conditions, including the funding rate and the signal pattern, suggest that Bitcoin is poised for a potential upward movement in the near future.

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