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"Bitcoin's Fate Hangs on US Data Deluge"

Coin WorldMonday, Mar 3, 2025 3:37 am ET
1min read

As Bitcoin (BTC) hovers near critical price levels, crypto investors are closely watching a packed week of US economic data releases that could sway market sentiment. From employment figures to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's insights, these macroeconomic indicators are poised to influence Bitcoin's trajectory.

US Macroeconomic Data To Watch This Week

Crypto market participants, traders, and investors have several US economic events to watch this week. This follows a notable sentiment shift during the weekend, driven by US President Donald Trump's move to commission a crypto reserve.

The crypto market's reaction to the president's executive order reflects Bitcoin's growing place in the United States macroeconomic space. Here is a breakdown of the five key data points to watch and their potential impact on the world's leading cryptocurrency.

ADP Employment Report

The week kicks off with the adp National Employment Report on Wednesday. This US economic data is a key gauge of private-sector job growth. After the previous 183,000, economists forecast February's jobs data slowing down to around 143,000. This reflects a continued cautious hiring environment, as President Trump's economic policies remain a topic of interest.

A stronger-than-expected report could signal resilience in the labor market, potentially boosting the US dollar and pressuring Bitcoin as investors pivot to traditional assets. Conversely, a weaker print might fuel expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts, lifting BTC as a risk asset.

Initial Jobless Claims

Thursday's Initial Jobless Claims report will offer a real-time snapshot of the US labor market's health. The previous week's figure increased to 242,000, beating the consensus of 225,000, signaling economic softening.

According to data on MarketWatch, analysts anticipate a slight uptick to around 243,000 for the week ending March 1. Lower claims could reinforce confidence in the economy, potentially reducing Bitcoin's appeal as a hedge against uncertainty.

Higher claims, however, might stoke fears of a slowdown, driving investors toward BTC as a safe-haven alternative.

US Unemployment Rate

Friday's US jobs report, including the unemployment rate, is a market marquee event. Forecasts peg job growth at 160,000 for February, up from

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Certain-Dragonfly-22
03/03
Hope Powell doesn't spook us with hawkish tones.
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Sensitive_Chapter226
03/03
Crypto whales watching Fed Chair Powell like hawks. His words can move markets, fam.
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OG_Time_To_Kill
03/03
@Sensitive_Chapter226 Totally, his words carry weight.
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JC-YNWA
03/03
@Sensitive_Chapter226 Do you think Powell's words will move BTC more than the job numbers?
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PunchTornado
03/03
Hope y'all are buckled up for this week's rollercoaster. Data drops could turn $BTC into a meme again. 🚀
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ImplementEither7716
03/03
@PunchTornado Ready for the wild ride?
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DumbStocker
03/03
@PunchTornado What's your BTC target?
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Aertypro
03/03
BTC volatility is like riding a bucking bronco.
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Puginator
03/03
Labor market vibes: strong job numbers = dollar up, Bitcoin down. Investors play the macro game.
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Most_Caramel_8001
03/03
@Puginator True, strong jobs = BTC down.
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solidpaddy74
03/03
@Puginator What about when job numbers dip?
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amanoraim
03/03
Powell's words could be worth their weight in BTC.
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Ironman650
03/03
@amanoraim If Powell speaks, is it YOLO or FOMO on BTC?
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DumbStocker
03/03
Initial Jobless Claims might sound boring, but it's a hidden gem for crypto sentiment shifts. 🚀
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kenton143
03/03
Holding BTC as a hedge. If rate cuts loom, might see more risk-on plays. Gotta adapt strategies.
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iyankov96
03/03
@kenton143 How long you been holding BTC? Any specific strategy or target in mind?
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amanoraim
03/03
FOMO kicking in with these job growth forecasts.
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