AInvest Newsletter
Daily stocks & crypto headlines, free to your inbox
Bitcoin Expected to Trade in Range as Volatility Cools
Coin WorldTuesday, Jul 1, 2025 9:09 am ET
1min readAs the third quarter of 2025 begins,
is expected to enter a phase of ranged trading, according to Bitfinex. This outlook is based on the current market conditions and the analysis provided by the cryptocurrency exchange. The recent struggle for a breakout to $110,000 or higher signals a potential consolidation phase, with Bitcoin's price hovering near $107,000 after recovering from lows of $84,000 seen in April.Bitfinex analysts noted a slowdown in on-chain and derivatives activity, which comes after a period of volatility influenced by geopolitical tensions, such as the Israel-Iran conflict. The macroeconomic environment has also played a significant role in dictating the action for risk assets. Despite the market having flushed out excess leverage, the lack of upside momentum, including in the exchange-traded funds market, could see Bitcoin mirror the average of just 6% gain between July and the end of September, a trend observed since 2013.
The recent compression in price action reflects a cooling in both on-chain and derivatives activity, with declining spot volumes, reduced taker buy pressure, and a drop in open interest. This highlights that the market is transitioning from an aggressive impulse to a ranging phase. For new all-time highs to be reclaimed, a catalyst in the form of macro relief, strong ETF flow momentum, or a breakout in global liquidity will be necessary.
Bitcoin’s key levels include $100,000 as a major support area, while the short-term holder’s realized price level at $98,700 offers a critical structural zone for accumulation. BTC bulls may target a breakout above $110,000, but Q3 has historically been a period of low volatility and subdued directional movement. With an average of just +6%, price action will be more within a consolidation range.
This period of ranged trading presents an opportunity for investors to engage in strategic trading within the defined range, potentially capitalizing on short-term price movements. However, it also suggests a period of reduced volatility, which may limit the potential for significant gains or losses. Traders and investors are advised to adopt a cautious approach, focusing on risk management and strategic positioning within the anticipated range.
The stability in Bitcoin's price is likely to have a ripple effect on the broader cryptocurrency market. Other digital assets may experience similar range-bound trading patterns as market participants adjust their strategies in response to the prevailing conditions. This period of stability could provide a respite from the volatility that has characterized the cryptocurrency market in recent months, allowing for a more measured and deliberate approach to trading and investment.
Sign up for free to continue reading
Unlimited access to AInvest.com and the AInvest app
Follow and interact with analysts and investors
Receive subscriber-only content and newsletters
or
By continuing, I agree to the
Market Data Terms of Service and Privacy Statement
Already have an account?
Disclaimer: The news articles available on this platform are generated in whole or in part by artificial intelligence and may not have been reviewed or fact checked by human editors. While we make reasonable efforts to ensure the quality and accuracy of the content, we make no representations or warranties, express or implied, as to the truthfulness, reliability, completeness, or timeliness of any information provided. It is your sole responsibility to independently verify any facts, statements, or claims prior to acting upon them. Ainvest Fintech Inc expressly disclaims all liability for any loss, damage, or harm arising from the use of or reliance on AI-generated content, including but not limited to direct, indirect, incidental, or consequential damages.
Comments
No comments yet