Bitcoin Drops 4% Below $100,000 Amid US Iran Tensions

Coin WorldSunday, Jun 22, 2025 1:49 pm ET
3min read

Bitcoin's price fell below $100,000 following U.S. military actions in Iran, triggering extensive market liquidations. This drop impacts

stability and highlights market volatility tied to geopolitical events. The price of Bitcoin fell below $100,000 following a U.S. military operation in Iran. Global geopolitical tensions have historically created volatility, affecting economies and markets. This move triggered extensive liquidations, impacting investors worldwide. Bitcoin dropped from a local high of $102,350 as liquidation thresholds were breached. The strait of Hormuz threats increased the urgency among traders. The concentration of stop-loss orders around $100,000 contributed to cascading sell-offs.

The sudden decline caused over $1 billion in liquidations across major cryptocurrency exchanges, affecting essential digital assets like Ethereum and Solana. The market reaction has been swift and substantial, leading to significant market shifts. The consequences extend to financial markets, including declines in DeFi investments. Investors worry about further downward trends, with the next support levels at $95,000 and $92,000.

Market industry observers recall previous similar market falls, like the COVID-19 panic in 2020 and May 2021's China mining crackdown. These incidents share a commonality with current events—macroeconomic factors affecting cryptocurrency prices. Past data patterns on Bitcoin's response to geopolitical issues suggest potential for further volatility and price corrections. Historical trends indicate temporary market instability before recovery. Despite recent setbacks, Bitcoin’s unique properties continue to make it a vital component in the digital ecosystem, says financial analyst Joe Cryptos.

Bitcoin's price experienced a significant decline, dropping below $100,000 amid escalating geopolitical tensions. The primary driver of this drop was the potential closure of the Strait of Hormuz by Iran, a critical waterway for global oil trade. This geopolitical uncertainty led to a risk-off sentiment among investors, causing Bitcoin to fall below the $100,000 mark for the first time in weeks. The cryptocurrency market faced a heavy blow as Bitcoin's price dropped over 4% within the past 24 hours, marking a decline of approximately 4% within the past 24 hours. This drop was particularly notable as it occurred amidst heightened tensions between the US and Iran, with fears of a potential conflict driving market volatility.

The geopolitical tensions, particularly the US strikes on Iran, triggered a flight to safety among investors. This risk-off sentiment was evident as Bitcoin's price plummeted below $100,000, reaching as low as $98,200. The sharp decline in Bitcoin's price was accompanied by a similar drop in Ethereum, which fell by 10%. This market reaction highlighted the increased volatility and risk aversion among crypto traders as geopolitical tensions escalated. The sudden drop in Bitcoin's price aligns with broader market uncertainty, as equity and commodity futures are set to open, potentially adding further volatility.

The current downturn presents both risks and opportunities for crypto investors, particularly in the context of cross-market dynamics with equities. As US stock futures, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, are poised to open lower, there is a high likelihood of continued downward pressure on cryptocurrencies due to correlated risk aversion. Historically, Bitcoin and Ethereum have shown a positive correlation with tech-heavy indices like the Nasdaq, often moving in tandem during periods of macroeconomic stress. Crypto traders should monitor key support levels, with Bitcoin at $95,000 and Ethereum at $3,000 as potential entry points for swing trades if a rebound occurs post-futures opening. On-chain data reveals a 15% increase in BTC transfers to exchanges, suggesting further selling pressure. For Ethereum, staking withdrawals rose by 8% in the same timeframe, indicating profit-taking or risk mitigation. Institutional money flow, often a driver in such scenarios, appears to be shifting toward safer assets, with reports of reduced inflows into crypto ETFs.

Delving into technical indicators, Bitcoin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart dropped to 28, signaling oversold conditions that could attract bargain hunters if geopolitical tensions ease. Ethereum’s RSI similarly fell to 30 on the same timeframe, hinting at a potential reversal if buying volume picks up. The BTC/USD pair saw a 20% increase in sell orders around the $99,000 level, while ETH/BTC dropped by 2% to 0.032 in the same period, showing Ethereum’s underperformance against Bitcoin. Cross-market correlations remain evident, with crypto-related stocks expected to face selling pressure at the equity market open. Market sentiment, as gauged by the Crypto Fear & Greed Index, plummeted to 25 (extreme fear), down from 60 just 24 hours prior. This shift highlights a broader risk-off environment, with potential for increased volatility in crypto markets as institutional investors reassess positions amid stock market reactions. Traders should remain vigilant, focusing on volume changes and macroeconomic cues for short-term trading setups.

In terms of stock-crypto correlation, the current geopolitical crisis amplifies the interconnectedness between traditional and digital asset markets. Bitcoin and Ethereum often act as leading indicators of risk appetite, and today’s drop suggests that equity markets may follow suit with declines in tech and growth stocks. Institutional money flow data indicates a 10% reduction in crypto fund inflows over the past 12 hours, while bond yields are ticking higher, signaling a move to safety. Crypto ETFs saw a 7% drop in trading volume in pre-market activity, reflecting hesitancy among institutional players. For traders, this presents a potential contrarian opportunity to accumulate BTC and ETH at lower levels, particularly if stock market reactions are less severe than anticipated. Monitoring on-chain metrics and stock futures will be critical for timing entries and exits in this volatile environment.