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Bitcoin has been defending a critical support zone between $99,000 and $103,000, a region that has gained significant attention from traders. This zone is reinforced by short-term trend lines and weekly Ichimoku indicators, providing strong structural support. The bulls are actively defending this area, but the increasing compression suggests that both buyers and sellers are exerting pressure.
Bitcoin's long-term bullish trend remains intact as it continues to trade well above the weekly Ichimoku Cloud. The Tenkan-sen, currently around $99,000, has historically acted as support during uptrend rallies. Recent consolidation above this line indicates healthy digestion after the price broke above $110,000 in May. Additionally, the proximity to a Fair Value
adds technical confluence to this zone, making a bounce more likely if the price reaches this level.However, the market structure is tightening. Bitcoin's recent high near $110,000 failed to hold, and the price is now coiling just above its short-term trend support. A decisive bounce could resume the upward momentum, but failure to hold the $99,000–$102,000 region might trigger a test of deeper support levels around the Kijun-sen at $95,000, a level that hasn't been interacted with since the last breakout.
On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin is showing compression between ascending diagonal support and horizontal resistance around $106,000. The coin is currently trading around $103,760 after rebounding from a double-bottom level at $102,988. This level is both technical and psychological, according to analysts. Despite continuous rejection at $106,000 and $108,000, Bitcoin has formed higher lows, maintaining the bullish bias. The next test is whether buyers can reclaim the upper resistance with significant volume. A clean break of $106,000 could pave the way to retest $110,000, while a fall below $102,000 might expose Bitcoin to downside risks at $98,000.
The current setup remains compositionally intact, but the volume action and reaction at support will determine whether Bitcoin can build on its trend or succumb to more retracement. Many technical analysts consider the $99,000–$103,000 support zone as the most significant for short-term direction. The confluence of Ichimoku support, Fair Value Gaps, and historical reaction zones identifies this area as structurally significant. Bitcoin holding this range as support successfully could be its next weekly breakout.
Bitcoin has stayed above $100,000 for 44 consecutive days, contributing to the current bullish sentiment. However, the next breakout must emanate from within this compression cycle. The future of Bitcoin hinges on its ability to navigate this critical support zone and maintain its bullish momentum.

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