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The collapse in late 2024–2025 was fueled by a confluence of structural and market-specific factors. Shifts in collateral and funding dynamics, including adjustments to funding formulas and basis levels in mid-September 2025, disrupted carry economics and liquidation thresholds, triggering a cascade of forced selling. By late October, , exacerbating downward pressure on spot prices
.Simultaneously,
. These outflows coincided with a narrowing of basis levels and negative funding rates, further incentivizing inventory liquidation on exchanges. Despite these headwinds, .
The collapse has sparked divergent views. On one hand, , offering attractive entry points for long-term investors
. Prominent figures like , author of Rich Dad, Poor Dad, and advocate remain bullish, , respectively . Kiyosaki, , plans to reinvest in income-generating ventures and eventually accumulate more Bitcoin, underscoring his conviction in its long-term value .Conversely, systemic risks loom large. Economist warns that Bitcoin's financialization-driven by institutional adoption via ETFs and stablecoins-has increased its correlation with traditional risk assets like the Nasdaq 100. This integration raises the specter of contagion, as a crypto downturn could now ripple through the broader financial system
. For instance, over-leveraged retail and offshore trading platforms in Asia, coupled with stalled ETF inflows, .Institutional investors have sounded alarms about the growing interconnectedness of crypto and traditional markets. The recent correction mirrors the April 2025 selloff in magnitude but has occurred at a faster pace,
. This volatility underscores the risks of leveraged strategies, particularly in Asian markets where high open interest on trading platforms could trigger cascading liquidations .Moreover, Bitcoin's performance has increasingly mirrored that of tech stocks, challenging the notion of its independence from traditional markets. If macroeconomic conditions worsen or the Federal Reserve delays rate cuts, the interdependence could amplify downturns in both asset classes
. , however, argue that while short-term distress persists, institutional demand remains robust, and fundamentals-such as Bitcoin's supply constraints-have not deteriorated .Bitcoin's recent collapse encapsulates the duality of its role as both a speculative asset and a potential systemic risk. For long-term investors, . However, the growing integration of crypto with traditional markets, coupled with leverage-driven vulnerabilities, necessitates caution.
, investors must weigh the allure of discounted entry points against the risks of a broader financial contagion. The coming months will test whether Bitcoin can decouple from macroeconomic pressures or if its financialization will cement it as a systemic linchpin in the global asset landscape.
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