Bitcoin's Calm Before the Storm: $85,000 in Sight
Bitcoin's price action has been lacking direction recently, with the cryptocurrency trading in a tight range. However, analysts are speculating that a significant price movement could be on the horizon, potentially pushing Bitcoin's price towards $85,000, reminiscent of the bullish surge seen in August 2023.
The current state of Bitcoin's price action is characterized by low trading volumes and an unusual level of rangebound trading. This stagnation has led to speculation about an impending price movement that could mirror last year's bullish surge. CryptoQuant's analyst Percival has highlighted the Choppiness Index readings, which signal a crucial moment for Bitcoin, indicating a potential breakout or breakdown in the near future.
Bitcoin may be set for a significant price movement akin to August 2023 as current analytics suggest extreme volatility ahead, focusing on key price levels. The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing a lack of decisive trend in Bitcoin's price action, with low trading volumes raising expectations for a shakeout, reflecting conditions similar to those during August 2023.
Percival notes that the Choppiness Index, which currently reflects extreme levels on daily and weekly charts, is an indicator that Bitcoin must transition out of its current range. “Our Choppiness Index shows it urgently needs to enter a trend,” he stated, pointing to a brief drop followed by a potential resurgence, as seen in previous patterns.
Diving deeper, the recent evaluations reveal a 90-day range wherein Bitcoin has fluctuated around 16%, highlighting the market's need for a more defined direction. Percival's outlook draws parallels to past events where similar market conditions preceded significant price movements. “Evidence of this pressure suggests that just as in previous cycles, we may soon see a significant liquidity grab,” Percival added, emphasizing the importance of the low volatility phase prior to upward surges.
As analysts consider potential price floors, Percival points to the short-term holder (STH) cost basis set at $92,000 as a critical threshold. This figure reflects the average cost basis for active market participants, serving as a crucial support level for potential price corrections. If the market were to retest this support without significant bullish action, deteriorating momentum could lead to an adjustment to the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), which sits attractively at $8 
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