Bitcoin Bull Run May Reach $130,000 by 2025, Analysts Predict

Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, is on the verge of an explosive new phase in its bull run, according to recent analysis. The MVRV Z-Score, a key metric used to gauge the market's health, is currently hovering around 2.8–3.0. Historically, this threshold has been associated with the mid-phase of each Bitcoin bull market, suggesting that the cryptocurrency is poised for significant gains.

Many believed Bitcoin’s surge from $15,000 to over $100,000 marked the peak of the current cycle. But according to market analysts, that rally was merely a “test pump.” They now suggest that the actual Bitcoin bull market is just beginning — and this time, it could be even more intense. Crypto sentiment is turning ultra-bullish. Analysts who accurately called earlier price moves are now predicting an unprecedented run, fueled by institutional interest, retail FOMO, and global liquidity shifts.

Several signals point to this week as the ignition point. Technical indicators are flashing bullish across major timeframes. On-chain metrics such as wallet accumulation and exchange outflows show large investors quietly increasing their Bitcoin holdings. Meanwhile, regulatory clarity in key markets and growing acceptance of Bitcoin ETFs are reducing barriers for mass adoption. These factors are aligning to trigger what some are calling the “greatest bull market in history.”

The current price structure of Bitcoin closely mirrors that of gold's recent rally. According to an analysis by crypto analyst Ted Pillows, Bitcoin's trajectory from its accumulation phase through distribution and a breakout rally is strikingly similar to gold's path. This observation is supported by a comparative chart that illustrates the parallel price movements of the two assets. The implication is that Bitcoin's recent correction, following its new all-time high earlier this year, is not a sign of weakness but rather a healthy part of its bull run.

Technical analysis of Bitcoin's price chart reveals that the cryptocurrency is following a pattern similar to gold's, albeit on different timeframes. Gold's historical pattern began with an initial distribution zone from 2011 to 2013, followed by a long accumulation period until mid-2019. This was succeeded by a re-accumulation phase that lasted until 2023, culminating in recent highs above $3,300. Bitcoin, on the other hand, entered a distribution phase after its euphoric rally to $69,000 in late 2021, followed by a textbook accumulation structure in 2023. The cryptocurrency then broke above $45,000 and entered a reaccumulation phase in late 2024, mirroring gold's price development just before its breakout.

Bitcoin's vertical rally began in late 2024 and continued until the recent price action. The analyst projects that Bitcoin will reach a cycle peak somewhere between $125,000 and $130,000 in the third quarter of 2025. This projection is based on the fractal similarity between Bitcoin and gold's price behavior, as well as the broader trend behavior. The implication is that Bitcoin's current price behavior is part of a consolidation phase before the next leg up, similar to gold's powerful rally after exiting its final reaccumulation box.

The approval of ETFs last year marked a significant shift in Bitcoin's bull run, breaking the old script of the halving cycle. This explosive phase has been driven by factors such as major BTC acquisitions by funds and constant inflows into crypto ETFs. Many traders expect a continuation of the bull run, with some analysts predicting that the crypto market is entering its most profitable phase in 2025. The current bull run has deviated significantly from historical patterns, with altcoins yet to experience the same level of gains as Bitcoin. However, the overall sentiment remains bullish, with many analysts backing certain cryptocurrencies for massive returns in the next bull run.

It’s not just Bitcoin that’s expected to benefit. Historically, when Bitcoin breaks into new highs, altcoins tend to follow — often with even greater percentage gains. Ethereum, Solana, and newer projects could ride the wave, as liquidity and attention flood into the crypto space. Investors are advised to stay alert, manage risks, and prepare for increased market volatility. While the upside potential is immense, parabolic moves often come with wild swings.