Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Predicted for September to October 2025

Analyst Rekt Capital has predicted that the peak of the current Bitcoin bull market is likely to occur between September and October 2025. This forecast is based on historical cycle analysis, which has shown that previous Bitcoin bull markets have peaked 518 to 550 days after halving events. The analyst's prediction suggests that there are only 2 to 3 months remaining before the potential top formation of the current cycle.

Historical data indicates that the Bitcoin price peaked 518 days after the 2016 halving event and 550 days after the 2020 halving event. This pattern suggests that the current cycle peak could occur between September and October 2025. The cycle expansion, which adds approximately 30 days to each four-year period, supports this timeline. The progression from 518 to 550 days shows a consistent lengthening across cycles, and adding another 30 days brings the potential peak to 580 days after halving, pushing the peak window into November 2025 under expansion scenarios.

Rekt Capital's analysis has been accurate in identifying key market movements, such as the March 2023 bear market bottom around 20,000 levels. The analyst also correctly predicted Bitcoin’s cycle acceleration following the triangular base breakdown, which led to the current bull market phase. The analysis tracks macro triangles and diagonal patterns across multiple cycles to time market peaks and bottoms.

Macro diagonal trend lines at 42 and 34 degrees show declining angle patterns, which have been consistent across multiple cycles. The last cycle had a 42-degree angled macro diagonal, while the current cycle has a 34-degree angle diagonal, an 8-degree drop. This trend of decreasing angles suggests that future cycles could continue to decline, with the next cycle potentially having a 26-degree angle. These 8-degree angle trend lines have rejected price action during pre-halving times significantly, and breaking above them has preceded the formation of new all-time highs about 214 days after halving occurrences in cycles.

Bitcoin cycles alternate between underperformance and overperformance phases. The current cycle broke macro downtrend lines but moved sideways afterward, showing underperformance compared to previous cycle acceleration patterns. Earlier cycles displayed strong uptrend acceleration following macro downtrend breaks immediately. The current cycle’s consolidation phase contrasts with historical acceleration patterns observed. This consolidation period already showed underperformance by comparative price action standards. Bitcoin achieved new all-time highs prior to the halving event uniquely, marking a period of overperformance within the current cycle structure. Currently, Bitcoin enters another underperformance period following the pre-halving peak achievement. Future price action will likely overperform again to reduce this underperformance gap. These alternating patterns characterize typical Bitcoin cycle behavior across multiple timeframes.

The next bear market bottom will require watching the developing macro diagonal. Price compression will force downtrend acceleration following the established base formation. This base provides support for extended periods before breakdown occurs. Future cycle planning requires understanding these overperformance and underperformance alternations. Bitcoin could still break to new all-time highs during the remaining months. Such breakouts would reduce cycle expansion and potentially instill new acceleration phases.