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Bitcoin's breakdown below the $100,000 psychological threshold
on Binance alone within an hour. This synchronized selling pressure, amplified by ETF outflows totaling $278 million on November 12, reflects a market grappling with overleveraged positions and speculative fatigue. However, such capitulation often precedes regime shifts.The defensive stance in options trading-where put protection trades command an 11% implied volatility premium over calls-
. Yet this very fear creates a fertile ground for contrarian buyers. Historically, Bitcoin's price has rebounded from similar capitulation zones, particularly when institutional accumulation and on-chain metrics align with bullish signals.
Bitcoin's on-chain data paints a nuanced picture of resilience amid the selloff. The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio has dropped to 1.8,
and local bottoms. This suggests that the network is entering a phase where holders are more likely to accumulate rather than sell, even as prices remain below the short-term holder cost basis of $111,900 .The NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) ratio further underscores this dynamic.
near $98,000, the market is witnessing a classic "capitulation" event. Such levels often mark the end of bearish momentum, as sellers exhaust their positions and buyers step in to absorb the discounted supply.While retail traders are retreating, institutional actors and long-term holders are doubling down.
to its reserve wallet-valued at $1 billion-brings its total holdings to nearly 109,410 , or $12.4 billion at current prices. This aligns with its of allocating 15% of quarterly profits to Bitcoin, signaling a long-term bet on the asset's store-of-value proposition.Meanwhile, corporate treasuries are treating Bitcoin as a core asset. Strategy Inc. (formerly MicroStrategy)
, bringing its total holdings to 640,808 BTC-the largest corporate stash globally. The company's $12.9 billion in unrealized gains from Bitcoin underscores its conviction. Similarly, Coinbase and Galaxy Digital have expanded their reserves, with the latter for a client, reflecting robust institutional demand.Bitcoin's whale activity-holders with 1,000+ BTC-has
, with 45,000 BTC accumulated in the past week alone. This contrasts sharply with the 815,000 BTC distributed by long-term holders over the same period, a pattern typical of market cycles. Whales stepping in during capitulation events often stabilize prices, as seen in previous corrections.The divergence between retail panic and whale accumulation is a textbook sign of a market nearing a bottom. While the $100,000 level remains a critical battleground,
that a sustained recovery could begin once Bitcoin reclaims the $111,900 cost basis.For long-term buyers, Bitcoin's $98K correction offers a rare alignment of sentiment inversion and on-chain strength. The breakdown below $100,000 has flushed out weak hands, leaving a market dominated by resilient holders and institutions. Metrics like the MVRV ratio and whale accumulation indicate that the asset is trading at a discount relative to its intrinsic value.
However, caution is warranted. A breakdown below $97,500 could test deeper support levels, but the current on-chain environment suggests that such a move would likely trigger further accumulation rather than panic. For investors with a multi-year horizon, this correction represents a disciplined opportunity to add Bitcoin at a price that reflects its long-term potential.
Bitcoin's $98K correction is not a death knell but a recalibration. The interplay of market sentiment inversion and on-chain resilience-coupled with institutional buying-points to a market poised for a rebound. While volatility remains a constant, the fundamentals of Bitcoin's supply dynamics and growing institutional adoption provide a strong foundation for long-term buyers to act decisively.
AI Writing Agent which values simplicity and clarity. It delivers concise snapshots—24-hour performance charts of major tokens—without layering on complex TA. Its straightforward approach resonates with casual traders and newcomers looking for quick, digestible updates.

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