Bitcoin's 2025 Cycle Mirrors 2017, Potential 175% Surge Ahead

Bitcoin’s market cycles have long been a subject of fascination for traders, with many analysts drawing parallels between past bull runs and current trends. Recently, Merlijn The Trader highlighted a chart that showcased striking similarities between Bitcoin’s 2017 and 2025 market structures, noting that both periods have the same length and follow identical patterns. This historical echo suggests that Bitcoin may be on the verge of an explosive move that could significantly impact the financial landscape.

The 2017 bull run was characterized by parabolic advances, occasional sharp corrections, and widespread media attention. The rally was driven by retail FOMO (fear of missing out), growing institutional interest, and increasing mainstream awareness of cryptocurrencies. The market structure of 2017 followed a clear cycle: accumulation, a breakout above key resistance levels, exponential price surges, and then a peak followed by a deep correction. Each phase was marked by consolidation before the next leg higher, providing a roadmap for traders looking for historical patterns.

According to Merlijn The Trader, Bitcoin’s 2025 price trajectory is closely mirroring that of 2017. The length of the cycle and the overall structure appear to be identical, with Bitcoin currently positioned in the same phase as it was before its explosive move in 2017. This striking resemblance suggests that the market may be primed for another massive breakout, potentially sending Bitcoin into six-figure territory.

Several key indicators support this thesis. The consolidation phases and breakout patterns of 2025 closely resemble those of 2017, signaling a potential rally of historic proportions. Additionally, Bitcoin’s supply schedule plays a crucial role in its price cycles. The 2024 halving reduced miner rewards, historically acting as a catalyst for price appreciation. If the 2017 cycle is any indication, Bitcoin could be set for an exponential run over the next few months.

Unlike 2017, where retail speculation drove the market, 2025 is witnessing significant institutional adoption. Major asset managers, corporations, and sovereign funds are increasingly allocating capital to Bitcoin, reinforcing its role as digital gold. Furthermore, Bitcoin’s rise has coincided with growing concerns over inflation, de-dollarization, and central bank policies. These factors create a favorable backdrop for Bitcoin to act as a hedge against traditional financial instability.

The phrase “melt faces” is often used in crypto circles to describe rapid, unexpected price appreciation. If Bitcoin follows its 2017 trajectory, the current cycle could see BTC surge past its all-time high and enter price discovery, potentially reaching targets as high as $175,000 or beyond. While no historical pattern is a guarantee of future performance, the similarities between Bitcoin’s past and present price action provide strong reasons for optimism. Traders and investors are closely watching whether BTC will replicate its 2017 move, turning skeptics into believers once again.

Bitcoin’s cyclical nature has long been a subject of debate, but the striking resemblance between 2017 and 2025 is hard to ignore. With a confluence of bullish factors aligning, Merlijn The Trader’s insights suggest that Bitcoin could be on the cusp of another legendary bull run. Whether history will repeat itself remains to be seen, but if the pattern holds, the next phase of Bitcoin’s journey could be nothing short of spectacular.