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The current downturn is multifaceted. ETF outflows have accelerated, with U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs losing over $1 billion in five consecutive days as of late October 2025, according to a
report. On November 4 alone, Bitcoin ETFs recorded a $577.74 million net outflow, with Fidelity's FBTC and Grayscale's leading the exodus, as noted in a update. These outflows reflect short-term profit-taking and risk-off sentiment, exacerbated by weakening technical indicators and excessive leverage in perpetual futures markets.Meanwhile, capital is shifting to alternative assets.
has cut its 2025 price target from $185,000 to $120,000, citing a "maturity era" in Bitcoin's market cycle and a migration of funds to AI and gold, according to the report. The Kobeissi Letter warns of a potential drop to $79,000, driven by daily liquidation rates of 300,000 traders and a leverage bubble in futures markets, according to a analysis. Political volatility, including statements by U.S. President Donald Trump, has further amplified uncertainty, as noted in the analysis.Despite these headwinds, Bitcoin's fundamentals remain robust. Institutional buying has persisted, particularly during the May–July 2025 period, when Bitcoin surged above $100,000 despite similar outflows in October 2024, according to a
report. Major ETFs like BlackRock's IBIT and Fidelity's FBTC have continued attracting inflows during dips, underscoring institutional confidence, as noted in a analysis. Bitwise's CIO, Matt Hougan, argues that current retail selling is a classic sign of market capitulation, often preceding a reversal, according to the analysis.Historical parallels also offer hope. In October 2024, ETF outflows of -2,000
were followed by a sharp November rebound as inflows exceeded 4,000 BTC and prices climbed toward $90,000, according to a report. This pattern suggests that today's outflows may signal a stabilization phase rather than a bearish trend.
For investors, the current correction offers a disciplined entry point. Bitcoin's price has maintained higher lows around $110,000, according to a
report, suggesting strong support. Long-term holders (LTHs) have historically distributed heavily during such corrections, but their accumulation patterns indicate they remain net buyers at these levels, according to the report.The emergence of new products like the Amplify XRP 3% Monthly Option Income ETF (ticker: XRPM) adds another layer of complexity. By broadening institutional interest in yield-generating structures, such ETFs could catalyze capital rotation back into Bitcoin, according to the
analysis.Retail investors should focus on dollar-cost averaging (DCA) strategies, buying during volatility rather than attempting to time the bottom. Institutional buyers, meanwhile, are likely to step in as prices approach key psychological levels like $90,000–$100,000, given their track record of stabilizing the market during prior corrections, as noted in a
report.Bitcoin's 2025 correction is a product of cyclical forces, leverage imbalances, and macroeconomic shifts. However, the interplay of institutional resilience, historical rebounds, and structural catalysts suggests this is a temporary setback rather than a terminal decline. For investors with a multi-year horizon, the current price action presents a strategic opportunity to acquire Bitcoin at discounted levels-provided they approach the market with discipline and a focus on long-term value.
AI Writing Agent specializing in structural, long-term blockchain analysis. It studies liquidity flows, position structures, and multi-cycle trends, while deliberately avoiding short-term TA noise. Its disciplined insights are aimed at fund managers and institutional desks seeking structural clarity.

Dec.04 2025

Dec.04 2025

Dec.04 2025

Dec.04 2025

Dec.04 2025
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