Bitcoin's 1% weekly gain sparks altcoin optimism, but key resistance levels loom

Coin WorldSunday, Apr 20, 2025 3:55 pm ET
2min read

Bitcoin’s stability above the $85,000 mark has sparked optimism among traders, with potential breakout opportunities for altcoins such as BNB, HYPE, TAO, and RNDR. This stability suggests a bullish sentiment in the market, with Bitcoin’s price rising approximately 1% this week, indicating a delicate balance between supply and demand. However, opinions diverge on Bitcoin’s next major direction, with some analysts speculating caution amid the upcoming Easter weekend.

Network economist Timothy Peterson highlights a historical correlation, stating that in 71% of cases since 2010, Bitcoin has posted gains three months after significant increases in the US High Yield Index Effective Yield. This historical data suggests that Bitcoin’s current stability could be a precursor to further gains in the coming months.

Bitcoin remains above the 20-day exponential moving average (currently at $83,704) but has struggled to breach the 200-day simple moving average (at $88,098), which represents a pivotal resistance point. A lack of upward momentum might indicate a more significant correction is on the horizon. If Bitcoin breaches the 20-day EMA, it could fall to $78,500, or even to critical support at $73,777. Conversely, a decisive break above the 200-day SMA may indicate the end of the corrective phase, potentially driving prices towards $95,000 and flirting with the psychological $100,000 level.

BNB is encountering substantial resistance at its downtrend line, although buyers have maintained their ground against sellers. The moving averages have flattened, suggesting a stale equilibrium between supply and demand. If BNB can eclipse the downtrend line, the BNB/USDT pair could target $644. However, should the price retrace significantly from this resistance, a drop below $576 might indicate a more prolonged consolidation period.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) has burst through key resistance at $17.35, yet ongoing selling pressure exists at elevated levels. A rebound from this threshold could pave the way for a rally towards $21. A break below $17.35 would imply significant bearish sentiment, with the 20-day EMA around $15.32 serving as the next critical support level. A recovery at this juncture would allow bulls another attempt to breach the overhead resistance.

Bittensor (TAO) has successfully navigated above key moving averages but now faces resistance at its downtrend line. A pullback could test support at the 20-day EMA. A bounce from this juncture could fuel an ascent to $360. A breach below the 20-day EMA, however, might suggest that bearish pressures are resurfacing, pushing the price down to the $222 support level. Buyers must act quickly to maintain higher price levels to avoid a larger retracement.

Render (RNDR) is showing signs of recovery, breaking above $4.22—indicating a potential bullish double-bottom formation. The next resistance lies at $4.83, which may be tested if buyer momentum continues. Maintaining a close above $4.22 will affirm bullish sentiment; however, risk remains if the price closes below the 20-day EMA, which could send RNDR back toward a lower support level of $2.50.

In summary, Bitcoin’s firm stance above the $85,000 threshold invites optimism for altcoins like BNB, HYPE, TAO, and RNDR. The technical indicators suggest that while opportunities are present, traders should remain vigilant of critical support and resistance levels as market sentiment continues to evolve.