Billionaire's Contrarian Moves: Selling Nvidia, Buying AI Stock Up 2,260%
AInvestWednesday, Dec 4, 2024 4:57 am ET
4min read
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Billionaire Israel Englander, CEO of Millennium Management, recently made waves by selling 1.6 million shares of Nvidia(NVDA -1.20%) and buying 213,096 shares of AppLovin(APP 4.28%), two prominent AI stocks with contrasting market perceptions. These moves have sparked curiosity among investors, as Wall Street analysts generally have bullish outlooks for Nvidia but bearish sentiments for AppLovin.

Nvidia, the AI hardware giant, has seen its stock soar by 705% since 2022, driven by its dominance in AI-accelerated data centers. However, Englander's decision to sell Nvidia shares during the third quarter could indicate concern about potential headwinds, such as waning AI-GPU scarcity, competition from internal customer-developed AI-GPUs, and historical precedents of early-stage technology bubbles bursting.

On the other hand, AppLovin, an ad tech software provider, has returned an impressive 2,260% since 2022. Its Axon models have boosted ad spending on its platform, and its e-commerce advertising product is growing rapidly. Despite a current valuation of 102 times earnings, AppLovin's expected earnings growth of 25% annually over the next three years may signal significant upside potential.

Englander's trades suggest a contrarian approach, betting on AppLovin's growth prospects over Nvidia's current momentum. While Wall Street analysts may miss this opportunity, Englander's transaction history indicates a willingness to challenge consensus opinions. Whether his bet on AppLovin proves prescient remains to be seen, but his moves warrant close scrutiny by investors seeking to capitalize on emerging opportunities in the AI sector.



Analyzing the competitive dynamics and growth prospects of Nvidia and AppLovin offers insights into Englander's decision-making process. Nvidia's dominance in AI hardware and ecosystem has driven its stock price higher, but potential headwinds may be on the horizon. AppLovin's ad tech focus and predictive machine learning algorithms differentiate it from Nvidia, positioning it for growth in the mobile app and connected TV advertising market.

Moreover, AppLovin's e-commerce advertising product presents a unique growth opportunity. By enabling brands to reach consumers through mobile advertising, this product expands AppLovin's ad tech platform beyond mobile gaming and CTV publishers. With the e-commerce market projected to reach $7.4 trillion by 2025, AppLovin's entry into this space positions it to capture a piece of this growing pie.



In conclusion, billionaire Israel Englander's contrarian moves, selling Nvidia and buying AppLovin, deserve careful consideration by investors. His long-term investment strategy, focusing on value and adaptability, may have influenced this decision. As the AI sector continues to evolve, investors should monitor these companies' performance and adapt their portfolios accordingly.
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