BigBear.ai Stock Surges on Trump's AI Moves and Palantir Comparisons

Clyde MorganMonday, Jan 27, 2025 3:20 am ET
4min read


BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) stock posted significant gains this week, with the software company's share price closing out the stretch up 5.4%. The company's performance outpaced the broader market, as the S&P 500 index gained 1.7% and the Nasdaq Composite index climbed 1.6%. The bullish momentum for BigBear.ai stock can be attributed to two primary catalysts: President Trump's moves in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector and comparisons to successful AI software company Palantir Technologies.



President Trump's AI Moves Boost BigBear.ai Stock
On his first week back in office, President Trump rescinded a Biden-era executive order on AI, which removed the need for private companies to report details about AI development to the federal government. This move eliminated the need for companies to ensure their AI initiatives were in line with a series of guidelines outlined during the Biden administration. Trump followed up this action by issuing his own executive order on AI, which formed an advisory group to put forth an AI action plan within 180 days. This order also included a review of all policies, directives, regulations, orders, and other actions taken regarding AI under the Biden administration.

Investors broadly see Trump's approach as creating a more favorable growth backdrop for AI, and it helped power significant gains for BigBear.ai stock this week. The company's share price had been up as much as 17.1% from the previous week's market close but moderated due to insider selling disclosures and fluctuations in the broader market.



Palantir Comparisons Fuel BigBear.ai Gains
In addition to bullish momentum for the broader market, BigBear.ai stock posted gains in conjunction with moves made by President Trump. The Economic Times published an article that looked at recent reports on BigBear.ai stock and raised the possibility that the software specialist could deliver Palantir-like returns. For reference, Palantir stock is up roughly 345% across 2024's trading, while BigBear.ai's share price is up 58% across that stretch. Palantir's new defense deals, including partnerships with Booz Allen Hamilton and Shield AI, further spurred gains for BigBear.ai stock, as investors bet that the smaller software player could soon land more contracts in the space.

BigBear.ai's existing partnership with Palantir, which integrates their respective software offerings to improve data collection and analytics insights, also contributed to the positive sentiment surrounding BigBear.ai stock. The company's share price also climbed following news that President-Elect Trump plans to appoint venture capitalist David Sacks as his administration's artificial intelligence (AI) and cryptocurrency czar. This move was broadly interpreted as a signal that the new Trump administration will take a proactive approach to promoting the advancement of the AI industry.

Looking Ahead: Challenges and Opportunities for BigBear.ai
While the past week saw bullish catalysts for BigBear.ai stock on multiple fronts, the big gains have also pushed the company's risk profile higher. Notably, the software specialist saw an explosive valuation surge over the past week despite little in the way of news that appears to be materially meaningful for the business. With the business still posting losses and now valued at roughly five times this year's expected sales, the stock looks risky on the heels of its big rally.

Investors should be aware of the potential challenges and risks associated with BigBear.ai stock, including market volatility, regulatory uncertainty, and competition in the AI software industry. However, the company's recent financial results, including a 22.1% increase in revenue and a gross margin increase to 25.9%, suggest that BigBear.ai is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the AI sector.

In conclusion, BigBear.ai stock surged this week on the back of President Trump's AI moves and comparisons to successful AI software company Palantir Technologies. While the company faces potential challenges and risks, its recent financial performance and strategic positioning in the AI sector suggest that BigBear.ai is well-positioned to capitalize on growth opportunities in the industry. Investors should monitor the company's progress and consider the potential risks and rewards associated with its stock.

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