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Big Oil Slows Renewables Push as Climate Agenda Falters

Eli GrantThursday, Dec 26, 2024 8:16 pm ET
2min read


Big Oil's pivot to renewables stalls as climate goals face headwinds.
The recent rally in oil stocks has investors reassessing the commitment of major oil companies to their renewable energy initiatives. As geopolitical tensions and trade dynamics impact the cost-effectiveness of renewable energy projects, Big Oil executives are expressing concerns about the stability and long-term viability of these projects. This shift in sentiment has led to a slowdown in investment in renewable energy projects by companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron.

Are renewables really losing momentum?
The torrid rally in oil stocks has taken a breather as investors again shift their focus to the weakening commitment of major oil companies to their renewable energy initiatives. With geopolitical tensions and trade dynamics impacting the cost-effectiveness of renewable energy projects, the steady rise in investment in these projects is expected to receive added attention from investors and stakeholders. On Wednesday, markets will face another big test when the Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes its annual payroll revisions data, a release that has investors on edge.

A topsy-turvy run in the markets has renewed focus on the energy sector. Weaker hiring data at the start of the month helped prompt a big sell-off in global stocks and other risky assets. But investors stormed back into the markets last week after better-than-expected retail data, which suggested that consumer resilience might help avert a recession. Despite the wild swings, the S&P 500 is up about 1 percent for August so far.

Investors are bracing for Wednesday’s payroll figures, which economists say could see up to 1 million jobs disappear from previous tallies. Normally, this accounting update gets little attention, because the revisions apply to data that can be more than a year old. (Last year’s announcement wiped out 306,000 job gains, but markets largely shrugged off the news.) But a jumbo-size revision could add more pressure on the Fed, which has faced more questions about whether it has waited too long to cut interest rates and risked an economic downturn. Adding to the volatility: Bond traders are making huge bets (with borrowed funds) that the Fed will soon cut rates.

Markets on Wednesday are pricing in a rate cut in September, the Fed’s first in four years. But by how much? A big revision on Wednesday, followed by a lackluster report on Sept. 6 could add to the calls for an aggressive cut — and reignite a political debate. (Donald Trump has warned the Fed not to cut until after Election Day, while Senator Elizabeth Warren and other Democrats have urged the central bank not to delay.)

Big Oil's renewable energy initiatives face headwinds
Geopolitical tensions and trade dynamics have significantly impacted the cost-effectiveness of renewable energy projects compared to traditional fossil fuel investments. For instance, ExxonMobil's focus on the Permian Basin and offshore Guyana resources is driven by the desire to secure low-cost, strategically located energy sources (Source: Article 1). However, these projects face challenges due to geopolitical risks and uncertainties, which have led Big Oil executives to express concerns about the stability and long-term viability of renewable energy projects.

The shift in global energy policies and regulations, such as the Paris Agreement and increasing pressure from investors and stakeholders, has likely influenced these companies to diversify their energy portfolios and invest in renewable energy projects. This trend is evident in the increasing number of energy companies committing to net-zero emissions targets and investing in clean energy technologies. However, the recent slowdown in investment in renewable energy projects by major oil companies suggests that the climate agenda may be faltering.

In conclusion, the recent rally in oil stocks has investors reassessing the commitment of major oil companies to their renewable energy initiatives. As geopolitical tensions and trade dynamics impact the cost-effectiveness of renewable energy projects, Big Oil executives are expressing concerns about the stability and long-term viability of these projects. This shift in sentiment has led to a slowdown in investment in renewable energy projects by companies like ExxonMobil and Chevron, suggesting that the climate agenda may be facing headwinds.
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