BHP Group's 15min chart triggers Bollinger Bands expanding downward, bearish marubozu.

Friday, Sep 5, 2025 10:35 am ET1min read

BHP Group's 15-minute chart exhibits a significant downward trend, as indicated by the expanding Bollinger Bands and the occurrence of a bearish Marubozu candlestick pattern at 09/05/2025 10:30. This suggests that the market is currently being driven by selling pressure, with bears exerting control over the market. As a result, it is likely that bearish momentum will persist in the near term.

BHP Group Ltd. (BHP) has been experiencing a notable downward trend in its 15-minute chart, as evidenced by the expanding Bollinger Bands and the appearance of a bearish Marubozu candlestick pattern on September 5, 2025, at 10:30 AM. This technical indicator suggests that the market is currently dominated by selling pressure, with bears exerting control over the market. Consequently, bearish momentum is expected to persist in the near term [1].

In addition to the technical indicators, BHP's financial performance has been a focus of investor attention. The company recently reported a 26% year-over-year decrease in underlying attributable profit from continuing operations for fiscal 2025 (ended June 30, 2025), driven by lower commodity prices [2]. Despite this, BHP has been proactive in managing its capital allocation to ensure long-term growth and sustainability.

In a strategic move, BHP raised €1.4 billion through a dual-tranche bond offering to fund copper expansion, strategic acquisitions, and decarbonization projects. This offering includes €800 million in 3.180% notes due 2031 and €600 million in 3.643% notes due 2035. The favorable bond terms enable cost-effective financing amid rising interest rates, allowing BHP to balance growth and shareholder returns [3].

Copper now accounts for 59% of BHP's EBITDA, making it a critical component of the company's decarbonization goals. The global demand for copper is projected to surge by 54% by 2050, driven by electrification, renewable energy infrastructure, and electric vehicle (EV) production. BHP's investments in copper development and expansion projects align with these trends [3].

BHP's strategic focus on copper is complemented by its decarbonization efforts. The company aims to reduce operational emissions by 30% from FY20 levels by FY30 and achieve net-zero by 2050. These initiatives include the NeoSmelt Electric Smelting Furnace and low-carbon shipping technologies [3].

Despite reducing dividends, BHP maintains a 60% payout ratio, balancing capital preservation with shareholder returns. The favorable terms of the bond offering underscore BHP's ability to secure cost-effective financing during a period of rising interest rates, enabling the company to fund high-impact projects without overleveraging [3].

For investors, BHP's dual-tranche bond offering signals a strategic pivot toward copper, positioning the company as a key player in the green economy. By aligning capital allocation with market demand and decarbonization goals, BHP is positioning itself for long-term value creation as the world races to meet net-zero targets [3].

References:
[1] https://www.barchart.com/stocks/quotes/BHP
[2] https://www.zacks.com/stock/news/bhp-group-fy25-earnings-revenues-decline-yoy-on-lower-prices
[3] https://www.ainvest.com/news/bhp-eur1-4-billion-dual-tranche-bond-offering-strategic-capital-allocation-copper-driven-growth-2509/

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