BERA Faces 41.7% Token Unlock on February 6, 2026: Market Impact and Risks

• BERA unlocks 41.7% of its circulating supply on February 6, 2026, while HYPE unlocks 2.79% of its supply. According to KuCoin
• The unlock event introduces liquidity risks and could trigger short-term price volatility based on recipient behavior and market conditions. Intellectia AI reports
• Tokenomics, including buybacks and deflationary mechanisms, will play a key role in absorbing the new supply and stabilizing prices. Ainvest analysis

• The February 6, 2026 unlocks of BERA and HYPE tokens will significantly increase the circulating supply for both projects. Berachain will release 63.75 million BERA tokens, representing 41.7% of its total supply, while Hyperliquid will unlock 9.92 million HYPE tokens, or 2.79% of its supply. These unlocks coincide and could create immediate liquidity pressures. Yahoo Finance reports

• The impact of these unlocks is highly dependent on how recipients choose to handle their newly accessible tokens. If a large percentage of recipients sell, it could create downward price pressure. However, if the tokens are staked or held for governance, the effect may be less pronounced. BERA's weak price performance and thin liquidity make it especially vulnerable to selling pressure. Pintu News

• Hyperliquid's tokenomics include deflationary mechanisms, such as protocol revenue buybacks and community reward distributions, which may help mitigate supply overhang. Similarly, Berachain's tokenomics aim to incentivize long-term liquidity and ecosystem growth. The broader market environment and macroeconomic conditions will also influence the outcome of these unlocks. Bitget analysis

What Is the Market Impact of the Upcoming BERA and HYPE Unlocks?

The February 6 unlocks introduce significant supply pressure, which could create short-term volatility and liquidity strain for both tokens. Historical patterns during HYPE unlocks suggest that the market is sensitive to sudden supply increases, potentially leading to sell-offs. The BERA unlock, in particular, could result in sharp price corrections due to its large supply share and current liquidity conditions.

The combined unlock value of HYPE and BERA on February 6 is approximately $333.3–$335 million, based on the token valuations provided. This represents a substantial liquidity event that could influence broader market sentiment. If buyback strategies are executed effectively, the supply overhang could be partially offset, but the initial market reaction may reflect short-term uncertainty.

How Can Traders and Investors Hedge Risks Associated With the BERA and HYPE Unlocks?

Traders are advised to employ hedging strategies such as options, delta-neutral positions, and stablecoin rotations to manage potential volatility. On-chain monitoring and liquidity management tools can help assess post-unlock flows and detect early signs of selling pressure. For investors, understanding the tokenomics and project fundamentals of both BERA and HYPE is essential in evaluating long-term value despite short-term volatility.

The unlock events also highlight the importance of token distribution mechanisms and vesting schedules. For example, Hyperliquid's structured vesting schedule and deflationary mechanisms provide a framework for mitigating liquidity risks, while Berachain's unlock includes allocations for investors, contributors, and R&D. These factors may influence how the market absorbs the new supply and whether the unlock becomes a catalyst for growth or a source of instability.