BEL +151.58% in 24 Hours on Sharp Short-Term Surge

On SEP 1 2025, BEL rose by 151.58% within 24 hours to reach $0.2353. This dramatic price movement marked a sharp reversal from broader market trends and drew attention from market observers tracking the token’s volatility.

The immediate surge appears to have been triggered by a combination of market sentiment shifts and limited supply-side constraints. While no major on-chain events were disclosed, the rapid price climb suggests the involvement of concentrated buying pressure or strategic liquidity management. This 24-hour gain is the largest single-day move recorded in recent historical data and contrasts sharply with the token’s 604.05% drop over the previous seven days.

Technical indicators observed over the past several sessions show a pattern of diverging momentum across different timeframes. Daily volume surged in tandem with the price increase, reinforcing the legitimacy of the move, while the longer-term Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains oversold, potentially indicating a temporary bounce within a broader bearish context.

Backtest Hypothesis

The proposed backtesting strategy centers on a mean-reversion model using the 50-day and 200-day moving average crossovers as primary signals. When the 50-day average crosses above the 200-day average, it generates a buy signal, while a cross below triggers a sell. This approach is typically used to identify the start of new trends or the resumption of prior momentum.

In the context of BEL’s recent volatility, the model could have captured the 24-hour rally had a buy signal been triggered on the preceding day. However, the strategy would have also exposed an investor to the subsequent seven-day 604.05% drop if no exit rules were applied. To refine the backtest, a stop-loss rule is incorporated, capping potential downside risk at a fixed percentage below entry price. This hybrid approach—combining moving average signals with stop-loss controls—aims to improve risk-adjusted returns by balancing trend-following with disciplined risk management.