BEKE exhibited robust bullish momentum in the most recent session, rising 6.52% to close at $19.45, marking its fifth consecutive daily gain with a 10.20% advance over this period. This surge occurred alongside significantly elevated volume (9.89M shares vs. prior average), suggesting strong conviction behind the breakout.
Candlestick Theory The latest candle closed near its high ($19.45 vs. high of $19.49) following four prior white candles, signaling persistent buying pressure. Key resistance at $19.50 (June swing high) was breached decisively, converting it to immediate support. The $18.00-$18.20 zone now serves as major support, anchored by July’s consolidation lows and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. A rejection near $19.50 in June 2025 catalyzed a 10% correction, underscoring its technical significance.
Moving Average Theory The 50-day SMA (approximately $18.80) crossed above the 100-day SMA (approximately $18.60) in late June, establishing a bullish golden cross. The current price ($19.45) trades above both averages, confirming an intermediate-term uptrend. The absence of a 200-day SMA due to limited data is noted, but the golden cross between primary averages suggests sustained upward momentum, with dips likely to find support near the converging 50-day/100-day SMAs.
MACD & KDJ Indicators A bullish MACD crossover occurred during the current rally, with the histogram expanding positively – indicative of accelerating upside momentum. Simultaneously, the daily KDJ entered overbought territory (K-value >80), typically a cautionary signal. However, this aligns with the price breakout on high volume, suggesting strength rather than exhaustion. No bearish divergence is observed, as both momentum oscillators and price trends align upward.
Bollinger Bands The bands contracted markedly during July’s $18.00-$18.20 consolidation, implying reduced volatility and coiling energy. The subsequent expansion, with price challenging the upper band, reflects a volatility breakout aligned with the directional move. Closing near the upper band ($19.45) signals short-term overbought conditions but also underscores trend strength, with the middle band (20-day SMA at $18.70) acting as dynamic support.
Volume-Price Relationship Volume surged 135% during the breakout above $19.50 compared to the prior day, validating the move's significance. This follows a pattern of expanding volume on up days (July 7 and July 10) and contracting volume during minor pullbacks – a hallmark of healthy accumulation. The volume-weighted average price (VWAP) for the rally phase is approximately $18.75, serving as a secondary support.
Relative Strength Index (RSI) The 14-day RSI has risen to ~70, entering overbought territory. Historically, such RSI levels preceded pullbacks in June 2025. While this warrants vigilance for profit-taking, context is crucial: similar RSI readings occurred during March 2025’s powerful uptrend, where overbought conditions persisted for weeks. Confluence with volume-backed breakouts reduces immediate reversal risks.
Fibonacci Retracement Applying Fib levels to the June high ($19.50) and July low ($17.60) reveals:
- 38.2% retracement at $18.30 (validated as support on July 8-9)
- 61.8% retracement at $18.80 (now acting as resistance-turned-support)
The extension to 127% ($19.93) offers the next technical upside target. This converges with psychological resistance at $20.00, creating a high-probability profit-taking zone.
Confluence & Divergence Observations Strong confluence exists near $19.50, where breakout validation, Bollinger Band expansion, and Fibonacci retracement align. The golden cross and MACD crossover further support continued upside bias. While RSI and KDJ overbought readings present a cautionary divergence from price strength, they lack confirmation from volume or momentum studies. Traders should monitor $19.93 for potential resistance but respect the dominant bullish structure unless $18.80 support fails.
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